Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-1740u
ROI
-9%
win rate
52%
bets
1249
drawdown
176.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
2% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-264u
period 3top-up-611u
period 2top-up-282u
period 1top-up-583u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1249 | 52% | -990 | -9% | 101.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 117 | 47% | -1000 | -21.2% | 100% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1249 | 52% | -1132 | -9.1% | 116.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1249 | 52% | -1740 | -9% | 176.5% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 1249 | 52% | -3069 | -8.8% | 302% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1249 | 52% | -3829 | -8.6% | 360.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | WBT | 1.79 | 14 | won | +11 | -740 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.53 | 15 | lost | -15 | -752 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | FaZe | 1.68 | 15 | lost | -15 | -737 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | Spirit | 1.57 | 15 | won | +8 | -722 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | OG | 1.77 | 15 | won | +11 | -730 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.77 | 15 | lost | -15 | -742 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.82 | 15 | won | +12 | -727 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | Falcons | 1.52 | 15 | won | +8 | -739 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verse | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.82 | 15 | lost | -15 | -746 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Bushido Wildcats | 1.57 | 15 | won | +8 | -732 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.55 | 15 | won | +8 | -740 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Permitta | 1.80 | 15 | lost | -15 | -748 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 15 | lost | -15 | -733 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.85 | 15 | lost | -15 | -718 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | G2 | 1.74 | 15 | won | +11 | -703 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 16 | lost | -16 | -714 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | EAC | 1.72 | 15 | won | +11 | -698 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | ENCE | 1.65 | 16 | lost | -16 | -709 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 16 | won | +8 | -694 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.67 | 15 | won | +10 | -701 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Raccoons | Black Phoenix | 1.83 | 16 | lost | -16 | -712 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.78 | 15 | won | +12 | -696 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Strael Bora | 1.72 | 16 | lost | -16 | -708 |
| 18.08.26 | Lavked – HAVU | Lavked | 1.84 | 16 | lost | -16 | -692 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | EAC | 1.74 | 16 | lost | -16 | -676 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Honvéd | 1.81 | 16 | won | +13 | -660 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – Permitta | Permitta | 1.54 | 16 | won | +9 | -673 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.71 | 16 | won | +11 | -682 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.78 | 15 | won | +12 | -693 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 15 | won | +4 | -705 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Color | 1.74 | 15 | won | +11 | -709 |
| 18.08.26 | Permitta – OG | Permitta | 1.84 | 15 | lost | -15 | -721 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – DONSTU | Metizport | 1.70 | 15 | won | +11 | -705 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.55 | 16 | lost | -16 | -716 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.75 | 15 | won | +11 | -700 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | MASONIC | 1.78 | 15 | won | +12 | -712 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.76 | 15 | won | +11 | -723 |
| 18.08.26 | G2 Ares – Permitta | Permitta | 1.88 | 15 | won | +13 | -735 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | ENCE | 1.53 | 14 | won | +8 | -747 |
| 17.08.26 | mellren – Noir Verse | mellren | 1.68 | 14 | won | +10 | -755 |
| 17.08.26 | Raccoons – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.88 | 15 | lost | -15 | -765 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE – BERG | ENCE | 1.82 | 14 | won | +12 | -750 |
| 17.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.82 | 15 | lost | -15 | -762 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 1.77 | 15 | lost | -15 | -747 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 15 | won | +7 | -732 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | MIBR | 1.77 | 15 | lost | -15 | -739 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 1.76 | 15 | won | +11 | -724 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.68 | 15 | won | +10 | -735 |
| 16.08.26 | UNiTY – Misa | UNiTY | 1.80 | 14 | won | +11 | -745 |
| 16.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | Fire Flux | 1.83 | 14 | won | +12 | -757 |
| 16.08.26 | Honvéd – mellren | mellren | 1.74 | 14 | won | +10 | -768 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | INOX Division | 1.65 | 14 | lost | -14 | -779 |
| 16.08.26 | magic – 9z | 9z | 1.82 | 15 | lost | -15 | -765 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 15 | lost | -15 | -750 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG – HAVU | BERG | 1.66 | 15 | lost | -15 | -735 |
| 16.08.26 | Lynn Vision – Vitality | Lynn Vision | 1.84 | 15 | lost | -15 | -720 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-MANA – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.58 | 15 | won | +9 | -705 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | Vexar | 1.65 | 15 | won | +10 | -713 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.49 | 15 | won | +7 | -723 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | ALKA | 1.66 | 15 | won | +10 | -731 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.