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Always the favorite

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-1192u
ROI
-2.5%
win rate
58%
bets
2823
drawdown
134.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+217u
period 6top-up-520u
period 5top-up-538u
period 4top-up-150u
period 3top-up-184u
period 2top-up-218u
period 1profit withdrawn+200u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282358%-634-2.4%82.4%Select
Flat (10 units)282358%-669-2.4%87.5%Select
2% of bankroll282358%-1192-2.5%134.1%Selected
5% of bankroll282358%-2431-2.5%208.9%Select
10% of bankroll282358%-3670-2.7%246.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2823, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4924won+12-192
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5524won+13-204
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6624won+15-217
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4624lost-24-233
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8724won+21-209
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5524lost-24-229
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6524won+15-205
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7224lost-24-221
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4324won+10-196
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7824won+18-207
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6024lost-24-225
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7124won+17-201
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4024won+9-218
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6723won+16-227
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6023won+14-243
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7624lost-24-257
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7023won+16-233
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8023won+18-250
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7123won+16-268
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8223lost-23-284
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6223won+14-261
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7822won+17-275
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4522won+10-292
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7222won+16-302
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4622won+10-318
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3421won+7-328
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7921won+17-335
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5321won+11-352
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7521won+16-363
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7721lost-21-379
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5021won+10-358
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7521won+15-368
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8220won+17-383
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8221lost-21-400
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4820won+10-379
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3521lost-21-389
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5521won+11-368
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4720won+10-380
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8120won+16-389
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5320lost-20-406
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8120won+16-385
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2920won+6-401
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4020won+8-407
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6020won+12-415
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5020lost-20-427
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8620lost-20-407
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6921lost-21-386
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6921won+14-365
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7320won+15-380
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7321lost-21-394
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6321lost-21-374
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6221won+13-353
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6921won+14-366
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8221lost-21-380
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7121lost-21-359
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8522lost-22-337
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7722lost-22-315
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8222won+18-293
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4222won+9-311
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3122won+7-320
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.