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Always the favorite

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-2431u
ROI
-2.5%
win rate
58%
bets
2823
drawdown
208.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+423u
period 6top-up-890u
period 5top-up-890u
period 4top-up-459u
period 3top-up-490u
period 2top-up-596u
period 1profit withdrawn+471u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282358%-634-2.4%82.4%Select
Flat (10 units)282358%-669-2.4%87.5%Select
2% of bankroll282358%-1192-2.5%134.1%Select
5% of bankroll282358%-2431-2.5%208.9%Selected
10% of bankroll282358%-3670-2.7%246.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2823, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4969won+34-1431
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5568won+37-1465
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6665won+43-1502
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4669lost-69-1545
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8766won+57-1476
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5570lost-70-1533
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6567won+44-1464
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7271lost-71-1507
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4369won+30-1437
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7867won+52-1466
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6070lost-70-1518
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7168won+48-1448
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4067won+27-1496
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6764won+43-1523
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6063won+37-1566
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7666lost-66-1603
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7064won+45-1538
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8061won+49-1582
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7159won+42-1631
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8262lost-62-1673
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6260won+37-1611
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7858won+45-1648
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4557won+26-1693
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7255won+39-1719
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4654won+24-1758
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3453won+18-1783
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7951won+40-1801
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5349won+26-1841
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7548won+36-1867
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7750lost-50-1903
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5049won+24-1853
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7547won+35-1877
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8245won+37-1913
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8248lost-48-1950
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4846won+22-1902
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3549lost-49-1924
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5548won+26-1876
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4747won+22-1902
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8145won+36-1924
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5347lost-47-1960
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8145won+37-1913
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2945won+13-1949
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4044won+17-1962
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6042won+25-1980
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5045lost-45-2005
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8647lost-47-1960
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6950lost-50-1913
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6948won+33-1864
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7346won+34-1897
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7349lost-49-1930
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6351lost-51-1882
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6250won+31-1831
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6948won+33-1862
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8250lost-50-1895
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7153lost-53-1844
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8556lost-56-1791
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7759lost-59-1735
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8257won+46-1676
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4255won+23-1722
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3155won+17-1745
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.