Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-3262u
ROI
-10.9%
win rate
52%
bets
1251
drawdown
323.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-736u
period 3top-up-923u
period 2top-up-697u
period 1top-up-906u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 17 | 29% | -1000 | -79.1% | 100% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1251 | 52% | -1087 | -10.2% | 113.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1251 | 52% | -1247 | -10% | 131.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1251 | 52% | -1900 | -10.4% | 196.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1251 | 52% | -3262 | -10.9% | 323.1% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 1251 | 52% | -3902 | -11.7% | 367.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1251, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Leo – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.48 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2262 |
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | WBT | 1.79 | 13 | won | +11 | -2248 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | Spirit | 1.57 | 13 | won | +7 | -2259 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | OG | 1.77 | 13 | won | +10 | -2266 |
| 20.08.26 | Metizport – Color | Color | 1.85 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2276 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.77 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2262 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | Falcons | 1.52 | 14 | won | +7 | -2249 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | Honvéd | 1.67 | 13 | won | +9 | -2256 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.84 | 13 | won | +11 | -2264 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Bushido Wildcats | 1.57 | 12 | won | +7 | -2275 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.55 | 12 | won | +7 | -2282 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | PCIFIC | 1.79 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2288 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.85 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2276 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2263 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Permitta | 1.76 | 15 | lost | -15 | -2249 |
| 19.08.26 | FUT – magic | magic | 1.80 | 15 | lost | -15 | -2234 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | EAC | 1.72 | 15 | won | +11 | -2219 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | Enjoy | 1.67 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2230 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.66 | 15 | won | +10 | -2214 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.75 | 15 | won | +11 | -2224 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Raccoons | Black Phoenix | 1.83 | 15 | lost | -15 | -2235 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.78 | 15 | won | +11 | -2220 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.78 | 14 | won | +11 | -2231 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 14 | won | +7 | -2242 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 1.77 | 13 | won | +10 | -2249 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Honvéd | 1.81 | 13 | won | +10 | -2259 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.88 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2270 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.71 | 13 | won | +9 | -2256 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | Vexar | 1.78 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2265 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 13 | won | +5 | -2252 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 13 | won | +4 | -2257 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 13 | won | +6 | -2260 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.86 | 12 | won | +11 | -2266 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – DONSTU | Metizport | 1.70 | 12 | won | +8 | -2277 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | MASONIC | 1.73 | 12 | won | +8 | -2285 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Honvéd | 1.86 | 11 | won | +10 | -2294 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.80 | 11 | won | +9 | -2303 |
| 18.08.26 | G2 Ares – Permitta | Permitta | 1.88 | 10 | won | +9 | -2312 |
| 18.08.26 | PCIFIC – Just Players | PCIFIC | 1.86 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2321 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2310 |
| 17.08.26 | Revise – FORZE Reload | Revise | 1.81 | 11 | won | +9 | -2299 |
| 17.08.26 | LPH – SAW Youngsters | LPH | 1.63 | 11 | won | +7 | -2308 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | Vexar | 1.71 | 10 | won | +7 | -2314 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 1.77 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2322 |
| 17.08.26 | Permitta – UNiTY | Permitta | 1.83 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2311 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | ALKA | 1.82 | 11 | won | +9 | -2300 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2308 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.81 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2297 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars – Imperial | Imperial | 1.63 | 12 | won | +7 | -2285 |
| 16.08.26 | UNiTY – Misa | UNiTY | 1.79 | 11 | won | +9 | -2292 |
| 16.08.26 | Honvéd – mellren | mellren | 1.74 | 11 | won | +8 | -2301 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | INOX Division | 1.65 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2309 |
| 16.08.26 | magic – 9z | 9z | 1.82 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2298 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – Lavked | EAC | 1.83 | 12 | won | +10 | -2286 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2295 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG – HAVU | BERG | 1.66 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2283 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | FORZE Reload | 1.73 | 12 | won | +9 | -2271 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.55 | 12 | won | +7 | -2280 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.49 | 12 | won | +6 | -2286 |
| 15.08.26 | Imperial – BESTIA | Imperial | 1.82 | 11 | won | +9 | -2292 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.