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Always the favorite

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-1040u
ROI
-3.7%
win rate
57%
bets
2832
drawdown
112.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-41u
period 6top-up-252u
period 5top-up-262u
period 4top-up-157u
period 3top-up-150u
period 2top-up-163u
period 1top-up-15u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale164456%-142-0.3%62.6%Select
1% of bankroll283257%-1026-4%110.6%Selected
Flat (10 units)283257%-1040-3.7%112.8%Select
2% of bankroll283257%-1992-4.3%206.1%Select
5% of bankroll283257%-4257-5.2%394.3%Select
10% of bankroll283257%-6049-6.4%482.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2832, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMFURIA1.7510won+8-40
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsFOKUS1.5310won+5-47
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4710won+5-52
14.10.26Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRESNuclear TigeRES1.6110won+6-57
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSJust Players1.7310lost-10-63
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortG2 Ares1.7710won+8-53
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.8610lost-10-61
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+4-51
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisHOTU1.5810lost-10-55
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+5-45
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8410won+8-50
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+7-58
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10-65
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-10-55
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9-45
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6-53
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10-60
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4-50
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8-54
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10-62
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7-52
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4-59
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6710won+7-63
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8710won+9-70
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10-78
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8-68
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7-76
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+7-83
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8-90
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+7-99
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8-105
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5-113
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7-118
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5-125
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10-129
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8-119
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5-127
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7410lost-10-133
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10-123
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5-113
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7410lost-10-118
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8-108
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10-116
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7210won+7-106
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10-113
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6-103
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5-109
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8710lost-10-113
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10-103
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8-93
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3-101
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4-104
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-108
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10-114
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+5-104
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-10-109
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+7-99
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7-106
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7310lost-10-113
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6210won+6-103
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.