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Always the favorite

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-1079u
ROI
-8.6%
win rate
52%
bets
1260
drawdown
112.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-133u
period 3top-up-646u
period 2profit withdrawn+81u
period 1top-up-382u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale82852%-36-0.2%56.5%Select
1% of bankroll126052%-870-7.9%90.1%Select
Flat (10 units)126052%-1079-8.6%112.2%Select
2% of bankroll126052%-1438-7.4%147.5%Select
5% of bankroll126052%-2339-6.3%232.8%Select
10% of bankroll126052%-3177-6.4%314.1%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1260, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Nordic Valor – MAYBENordic Valor1.7610lost-10-79
20.08.26FORZE Reload – YounglingsYounglings1.8710lost-10-69
20.08.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.6510won+7-59
20.08.26Ryvex – CoalesceRyvex1.8910won+9-66
20.08.26OG – MetizportOG1.8310lost-10-75
20.08.26SPARTA – ColorColor1.8010won+8-65
20.08.26mellren – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.5310lost-10-73
20.08.26LPH – WBTWBT1.7910won+8-63
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityFaZe1.6810lost-10-71
20.08.26B8 – SpiritSpirit1.5710won+6-61
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZFalcons1.5210won+5-66
20.08.26Natus Vincere – LegacyNatus Vincere1.8710lost-10-71
20.08.26Lavked – UNiTYUNiTY1.8410won+8-61
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersHonvéd1.6710won+7-70
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsBushido Wildcats1.5810won+6-77
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZMOUZ1.5810won+6-82
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraAurora1.7710lost-10-88
19.08.26Permitta – Falcons ForcePermitta1.7610lost-10-78
19.08.26PCIFIC – SPARTAPCIFIC1.7910lost-10-68
19.08.26Metizport – Fire FluxFire Flux1.8510lost-10-58
19.08.26EAC – ColorEAC1.7810lost-10-48
19.08.26FUT – magicmagic1.8010lost-10-38
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseRevise1.6910lost-10-28
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero TenacityEnjoy1.6710lost-10-18
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCEENCE1.6510lost-10-8
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxFire Flux1.6810won+72
19.08.26Black Phoenix – RaccoonsBlack Phoenix1.8310lost-10-5
19.08.26Misa – ex-Sashi Academyex-Sashi Academy1.8010won+85
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaHYPERSPIRIT1.7810won+8-3
19.08.26Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXTInner Circle Academy1.8210won+8-11
19.08.26GenOne – UNiTYGenOne1.4910won+5-19
18.08.26Lavked – HAVULavked1.8210lost-10-24
18.08.26Honvéd – Noir VerseHonvéd1.8110won+8-14
18.08.26EAC – OGEAC1.7410lost-10-22
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICPCIFIC1.7110won+7-12
18.08.26Leo – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.7810won+8-19
18.08.26Metizport – DONSTUMetizport1.7010won+7-27
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxOmega1.6010lost-10-34
18.08.26EAC – FortressEAC1.4510won+5-24
18.08.26Permitta – OGPermitta1.8410lost-10-28
18.08.26Bebop – benched godsbenched gods1.7410won+7-18
18.08.26Honvéd – EntropyHonvéd1.8610won+9-26
18.08.26MASONIC – BebopMASONIC1.7810won+8-34
18.08.26ENCE – Mai TaiENCE1.5310won+5-42
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – PermittaBushido Wildcats1.4310won+4-47
17.08.26Revise – FORZE ReloadRevise1.8110won+8-52
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle AcademyBushido Wildcats1.4110won+4-60
17.08.26Nexus – G2 AresNexus1.7510lost-10-64
17.08.26Raccoons – Fire FluxFire Flux1.8810lost-10-54
17.08.26Noir Verse – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.6510won+7-44
17.08.26benched gods – Phantom AcademyPhantom Academy1.7710lost-10-50
17.08.26ex-RUSTEC – DragonClawex-RUSTEC1.4410won+4-40
16.08.26EAC – BASEMENT BOYSBASEMENT BOYS1.6710lost-10-45
16.08.26Legacy – MIBRMIBR1.7710lost-10-35
16.08.26DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity1.6810won+7-25
16.08.26ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academyex-Sashi Academy1.8110lost-10-32
16.08.26Honvéd – mellrenmellren1.7410won+7-22
16.08.26Mai Tai – BERGBERG1.5110lost-10-29
16.08.26magic – 9z9z1.8310lost-10-19
16.08.26MOUZ – PARIVISIONMOUZ1.6510won+6-9
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.