Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-1000u
ROI
-36.5%
win rate
50%
bets
66
drawdown
100%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the favorite
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1top-up-1000u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 66 | 50% | -1000 | -36.5% | 100% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2822 | 57% | -1088 | -4.3% | 119.9% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 2822 | 57% | -1143 | -4.1% | 125.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2822 | 57% | -2051 | -4.4% | 215.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2822 | 57% | -4138 | -4.9% | 398.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2822 | 57% | -5737 | -5.6% | 472.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 66, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.04.26 | GenOne – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 1.82 | 537 | lost | -537 | 0 |
| 28.04.26 | TNC – GenOne | TNC | 1.89 | 320 | lost | -320 | 537 |
| 28.04.26 | Alter Ego – Last Bullet | Alter Ego | 1.89 | 160 | lost | -160 | 857 |
| 28.04.26 | BMZ – The QUBE | BMZ | 1.89 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1017 |
| 28.04.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Just Swing | BORING PLAYERS | 1.88 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1097 |
| 28.04.26 | Time Waves – low cortisol | Time Waves | 1.88 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1137 |
| 28.04.26 | GameHunters – ELITES | GameHunters | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1157 |
| 28.04.26 | Surge – F5 | F5 | 1.88 | 20 | won | +18 | 1167 |
| 28.04.26 | InControl – girl kissers | girl kissers | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1150 |
| 28.04.26 | Wildcard – Aether | Wildcard | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 1160 |
| 28.04.26 | BOSS – Fisher College | Fisher College | 1.88 | 10 | won | +9 | 1153 |
| 28.04.26 | Aether – Shimmer | Aether | 1.82 | 80 | won | +66 | 1144 |
| 28.04.26 | Yawara – Imperial | Yawara | 1.83 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1078 |
| 28.04.26 | ODDIK – Fake do Biru | ODDIK | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1118 |
| 27.04.26 | Bebop – INOX Division | Bebop | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1138 |
| 27.04.26 | Nemesis – Hashiras | Nemesis | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1148 |
| 27.04.26 | fnatic – Leo | fnatic | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1139 |
| 27.04.26 | RBLS – aAa | RBLS | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1130 |
| 27.04.26 | Lavked – Lilmix | Lilmix | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1112 |
| 27.04.26 | UNiTY – MOUZ NXT | UNiTY | 1.82 | 40 | won | +33 | 1122 |
| 27.04.26 | Just Swing – Chinggis Warriors | Just Swing | 1.82 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1089 |
| 27.04.26 | Rare Atom – Legion | Legion | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1109 |
| 27.04.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Haunted House | BORING PLAYERS | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1119 |
| 27.04.26 | Sensation – The QUBE | Sensation | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1102 |
| 27.04.26 | Ground Zero – Skele | Ground Zero | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1112 |
| 27.04.26 | Ding Cuts – Abyssal | Ding Cuts | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1094 |
| 27.04.26 | F5 – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 1.83 | 10 | won | +8 | 1104 |
| 27.04.26 | EMPIRE – Aether | Aether | 1.88 | 10 | won | +9 | 1096 |
| 27.04.26 | FarmVille – insane players | FarmVille | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 1087 |
| 27.04.26 | Galorys – Keyd Stars | Galorys | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 1079 |
| 27.04.26 | Fake do Biru – LP | Fake do Biru | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1071 |
| 26.04.26 | Fisher College – Wildcard | Wildcard | 1.76 | 320 | won | +244 | 1062 |
| 26.04.26 | Legacy – 9z | 9z | 1.82 | 160 | lost | -160 | 818 |
| 26.04.26 | Crashers – QUINTESSÊNCIA | Crashers | 1.89 | 80 | lost | -80 | 978 |
| 26.04.26 | aimclub – BASEMENT BOYS | aimclub | 1.82 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1058 |
| 26.04.26 | G2 Ares – Lavked | G2 Ares | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1098 |
| 26.04.26 | Alliance – Nuclear TigeRES | Alliance | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1118 |
| 26.04.26 | Wildcard – Passion UA | Wildcard | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1128 |
| 26.04.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Misa | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.89 | 40 | won | +35 | 1119 |
| 26.04.26 | BET-M – BIG Academy | BET-M | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1083 |
| 26.04.26 | Eternal Fire – Lilmix | Eternal Fire | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1103 |
| 26.04.26 | Gentle Mates – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.82 | 20 | won | +16 | 1113 |
| 26.04.26 | Team Evelone192 – Team mokrivskiy | Team Evelone192 | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1097 |
| 26.04.26 | ENCE – Lilmix | ENCE | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1107 |
| 26.04.26 | Nemiga – CYBERSHOKE | Nemiga | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1098 |
| 26.04.26 | Haunted House – Kaleido | Haunted House | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1080 |
| 26.04.26 | BMZ – Last Bullet | BMZ | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1090 |
| 26.04.26 | NEXVOID – BORING PLAYERS | NEXVOID | 1.89 | 80 | won | +71 | 1081 |
| 26.04.26 | Monte – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.82 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1011 |
| 26.04.26 | MANA – The Last Resort | MANA | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1051 |
| 26.04.26 | Omega – DEPO | Omega | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1071 |
| 26.04.26 | low cortisol – FURY | low cortisol | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1081 |
| 26.04.26 | DEPO – TURAN | DEPO | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1072 |
| 26.04.26 | STATE – Sashi Academy | STATE | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1063 |
| 26.04.26 | Omega – Rune Eaters | Omega | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1054 |
| 26.04.26 | Fisher College – LAG | LAG | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1036 |
| 26.04.26 | M80 – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 1046 |
| 26.04.26 | NRG – Passion UA | Passion UA | 1.88 | 20 | won | +18 | 1039 |
| 26.04.26 | Wildcard – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1021 |
| 26.04.26 | ClayMakers – mouse | ClayMakers | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1031 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.