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Always the favorite

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-575u
ROI
-2.1%
win rate
58%
bets
2821
drawdown
79.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+145u
period 6top-up-131u
period 5top-up-139u
period 4top-up-184u
period 3top-up-119u
period 2top-up-206u
period 1profit withdrawn+58u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)282158%-558-2%79.1%Select
1% of bankroll282158%-575-2.1%79.8%Select
Martingale18657%-663-12%78.8%Select
2% of bankroll282158%-1153-2.2%139.8%Select
5% of bankroll282158%-2606-2.4%240.8%Select
10% of bankroll282158%-3949-2.6%292.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2821, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5511won+6425
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6611won+7419
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8711won+10412
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7411lost-11402
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6511won+7413
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7211lost-11406
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4311won+5417
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7811won+9413
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6011lost-11404
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7111won+8415
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4011won+4407
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7611won+8403
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8711won+10394
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7611lost-11385
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8011won+9396
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7011won+8387
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7111won+8379
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8311won+9372
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6711won+7363
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7811won+8355
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4511won+5347
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7211won+8342
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5335
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6611lost-11330
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5311won+6341
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8335
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7510won+8327
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10319
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5329
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7510won+8324
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8316
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10308
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5318
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10313
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6324
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8710lost-10318
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6511lost-11329
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5311lost-11339
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8111won+9350
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2911won+3341
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4011won+4338
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6334
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5011lost-11328
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5011won+5338
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6911lost-11333
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7311won+8344
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7336
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6510won+7329
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6311lost-11322
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6210won+7333
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910won+7326
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7110lost-10319
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8211lost-11329
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8511lost-11340
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7711lost-11351
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8211won+9362
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4211won+4353
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3511won+4348
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3111won+3345
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritSpirit1.6211lost-11341
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.