Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-700u
ROI
-6.3%
win rate
54%
bets
1240
drawdown
78.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-104u
period 3top-up-209u
period 2top-up-104u
period 1top-up-283u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 298 | 49% | -622 | -6.4% | 73.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1240 | 54% | -700 | -6.3% | 78.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1240 | 54% | -740 | -6% | 83.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1240 | 54% | -1319 | -6.7% | 144.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1240 | 54% | -2690 | -7.7% | 277.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1240 | 54% | -3717 | -9% | 355.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1240, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | ENCE | 1.82 | 9 | won | +7 | 300 |
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | WBT | 1.78 | 9 | won | +7 | 293 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | Spirit | 1.56 | 9 | won | +5 | 286 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.77 | 9 | lost | -9 | 281 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | Falcons | 1.52 | 9 | won | +5 | 290 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | G2 Ares | 1.80 | 9 | won | +7 | 285 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.55 | 9 | won | +5 | 278 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 9 | lost | -9 | 273 |
| 19.08.26 | The Last Resort – OG | OG | 1.80 | 9 | won | +7 | 282 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.85 | 9 | lost | -9 | 275 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | EAC | 1.78 | 9 | lost | -9 | 284 |
| 19.08.26 | FUT – magic | magic | 1.84 | 9 | lost | -9 | 293 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Revise | 1.67 | 9 | lost | -9 | 302 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 9 | won | +4 | 311 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.67 | 9 | won | +6 | 306 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.74 | 9 | won | +7 | 300 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – ex-Sashi Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.81 | 9 | won | +7 | 294 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 9 | won | +4 | 286 |
| 19.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXT | Inner Circle Academy | 1.85 | 9 | won | +7 | 282 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Strael Bora | 1.73 | 9 | lost | -9 | 275 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – Permitta | Permitta | 1.54 | 9 | won | +5 | 283 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux – PCIFIC | Fire Flux | 1.82 | 9 | lost | -9 | 279 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | 288 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | EAC | 1.74 | 9 | lost | -9 | 296 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.78 | 9 | won | +7 | 305 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | Vexar | 1.78 | 9 | lost | -9 | 298 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.30 | 9 | won | +3 | 308 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Color | 1.75 | 9 | won | +7 | 305 |
| 18.08.26 | Permitta – OG | Permitta | 1.84 | 9 | lost | -9 | 298 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.86 | 9 | won | +8 | 307 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.75 | 9 | won | +7 | 299 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.76 | 9 | won | +7 | 293 |
| 18.08.26 | G2 Ares – Permitta | Permitta | 1.88 | 9 | won | +8 | 286 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | 278 |
| 17.08.26 | Revise – FORZE Reload | Revise | 1.81 | 9 | won | +7 | 287 |
| 17.08.26 | mellren – Noir Verse | mellren | 1.68 | 9 | won | +6 | 280 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | Vexar | 1.71 | 9 | won | +6 | 274 |
| 17.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.82 | 9 | lost | -9 | 268 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 1.77 | 9 | lost | -9 | 277 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 9 | won | +4 | 286 |
| 17.08.26 | paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.68 | 9 | won | +6 | 282 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.66 | 9 | lost | -9 | 276 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 1.76 | 9 | won | +7 | 285 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.68 | 9 | won | +6 | 278 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.85 | 9 | lost | -9 | 272 |
| 16.08.26 | UNiTY – Misa | UNiTY | 1.81 | 9 | won | +7 | 281 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai – BERG | BERG | 1.52 | 9 | lost | -9 | 274 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | Rune Eaters | 1.66 | 9 | won | +6 | 283 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | MOUZ | 1.65 | 9 | won | +6 | 277 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – Lavked | EAC | 1.81 | 9 | won | +7 | 271 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 9 | lost | -9 | 264 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | FORZE Reload | 1.73 | 9 | won | +6 | 273 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 9 | won | +3 | 267 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG – HAVU | BERG | 1.66 | 9 | lost | -9 | 264 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.55 | 9 | won | +5 | 273 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.47 | 9 | won | +4 | 268 |
| 15.08.26 | Imperial – BESTIA | Imperial | 1.82 | 9 | won | +7 | 264 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit – BIG | Spirit | 1.73 | 8 | won | +6 | 257 |
| 15.08.26 | EAC – ex-MANA | EAC | 1.82 | 8 | won | +7 | 251 |
| 15.08.26 | eternal premium – Revise | Revise | 1.76 | 8 | won | +6 | 244 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.