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Always the favorite

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-4740u
ROI
-3.6%
win rate
57%
bets
2824
drawdown
261.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-807u
period 6top-up-998u
period 5top-up-995u
period 4top-up-856u
period 3top-up-851u
period 2top-up-939u
period 1profit withdrawn+706u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282457%-865-3.3%94.2%Select
Flat (10 units)282457%-915-3.2%99.3%Select
2% of bankroll282457%-1626-3.4%154.1%Select
5% of bankroll282457%-3323-3.5%234.5%Select
10% of bankroll282457%-4740-3.6%261.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2824, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3819won+7-3740
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4918won+9-3747
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5517won+9-3756
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6616won+10-3765
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4618lost-18-3776
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7419lost-19-3758
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5522lost-22-3739
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6520won+13-3717
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7223lost-23-3730
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4322won+9-3708
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7820won+16-3717
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6022lost-22-3733
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7121won+15-3710
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4020won+8-3725
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6719won+13-3733
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6018won+11-3746
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7620lost-20-3756
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8018won+14-3737
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7017won+12-3751
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7116won+11-3763
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8315won+12-3774
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6714won+9-3786
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7813won+10-3796
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4512won+6-3806
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7211won+8-3811
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4611won+5-3819
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6612lost-12-3824
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5311won+6-3812
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7911won+8-3818
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7412lost-12-3827
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7713lost-13-3815
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5013won+6-3802
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7414lost-14-3808
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8213won+11-3794
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8214lost-14-3805
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4814won+6-3790
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3515lost-15-3797
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5514won+8-3782
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8716lost-16-3790
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4715won+7-3774
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5317lost-17-3781
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8116won+13-3764
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2915won+4-3777
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4015won+6-3781
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6014won+8-3787
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5015lost-15-3795
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5015won+7-3780
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6916lost-16-3787
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7315won+11-3771
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6914won+10-3782
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6513won+9-3791
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6315lost-15-3800
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7316lost-16-3785
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6915won+11-3769
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7117lost-17-3779
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4116won+7-3762
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8518lost-18-3769
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7720lost-20-3751
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8219won+15-3731
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4218won+7-3746
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.