Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
-3624u
ROI
-7.1%
win rate
53%
bets
1245
drawdown
341.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-940u
period 3top-up-999u
period 2top-up-966u
period 1top-up-719u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 1245 | 53% | +339 | +1% | 79.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1245 | 53% | -845 | -7.4% | 86.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1245 | 53% | -986 | -7.9% | 101.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1245 | 53% | -1475 | -7.1% | 149.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1245 | 53% | -2676 | -6.7% | 263.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1245 | 53% | -3624 | -7.1% | 341.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1245, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | ENCE | 1.82 | 6 | won | +5 | -2624 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.53 | 6 | lost | -6 | -2628 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | FaZe | 1.68 | 7 | lost | -7 | -2622 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | OG | 1.77 | 6 | won | +5 | -2615 |
| 20.08.26 | Metizport – Color | Color | 1.85 | 7 | lost | -7 | -2620 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verse | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.82 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2613 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Natus Vincere | 1.87 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2605 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.82 | 8 | won | +7 | -2596 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | Honvéd | 1.67 | 8 | won | +5 | -2603 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.55 | 7 | won | +4 | -2608 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.68 | 7 | won | +5 | -2612 |
| 19.08.26 | The Last Resort – OG | OG | 1.80 | 6 | won | +5 | -2617 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | EAC | 1.78 | 7 | lost | -7 | -2622 |
| 19.08.26 | FUT – magic | magic | 1.80 | 8 | lost | -8 | -2615 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2607 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | Enjoy | 1.67 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2599 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Revise | 1.67 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2589 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.67 | 10 | won | +7 | -2579 |
| 19.08.26 | SAW Youngsters – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.86 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2585 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | -2574 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – ex-Sashi Academy | ex-Sashi Academy | 1.80 | 9 | won | +8 | -2582 |
| 18.08.26 | Lavked – HAVU | Lavked | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2590 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | EAC | 1.74 | 12 | lost | -12 | -2579 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 13 | lost | -13 | -2568 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux – PCIFIC | Fire Flux | 1.82 | 14 | lost | -14 | -2555 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.87 | 16 | lost | -16 | -2540 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 1.77 | 15 | won | +11 | -2524 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.71 | 14 | won | +10 | -2536 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 13 | won | +4 | -2546 |
| 18.08.26 | Strael Bora – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.86 | 12 | won | +11 | -2550 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.80 | 11 | won | +9 | -2560 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 11 | won | +5 | -2569 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – DONSTU | Metizport | 1.70 | 10 | won | +7 | -2574 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Omega | 1.60 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2581 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Honvéd | 1.86 | 10 | won | +9 | -2570 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | ENCE | 1.53 | 10 | won | +5 | -2579 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | -2584 |
| 17.08.26 | mellren – Noir Verse | mellren | 1.68 | 9 | won | +6 | -2588 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | Nexus | 1.75 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2595 |
| 17.08.26 | LPH – SAW Youngsters | LPH | 1.63 | 9 | won | +6 | -2585 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | Vexar | 1.71 | 9 | won | +6 | -2591 |
| 17.08.26 | Permitta – UNiTY | Permitta | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2597 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 9 | won | +4 | -2587 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2591 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | MIBR | 1.77 | 11 | lost | -11 | -2581 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars – Imperial | Imperial | 1.65 | 11 | won | +7 | -2569 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.68 | 10 | won | +7 | -2576 |
| 16.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | Fire Flux | 1.83 | 9 | won | +8 | -2583 |
| 16.08.26 | UNiTY – Misa | UNiTY | 1.80 | 9 | won | +7 | -2591 |
| 16.08.26 | Honvéd – mellren | mellren | 1.74 | 8 | won | +6 | -2598 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | INOX Division | 1.65 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2604 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – Lavked | EAC | 1.81 | 8 | won | +7 | -2595 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 8 | won | +3 | -2601 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG – HAVU | BERG | 1.66 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2604 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | FORZE Reload | 1.73 | 8 | won | +6 | -2595 |
| 16.08.26 | Lynn Vision – Vitality | Lynn Vision | 1.84 | 9 | lost | -9 | -2601 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | Vexar | 1.65 | 9 | won | +6 | -2592 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-MANA – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.58 | 8 | won | +5 | -2598 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | ALKA | 1.66 | 8 | won | +5 | -2602 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit – BIG | Spirit | 1.74 | 7 | won | +5 | -2607 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.