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Always the favorite

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
-4138u
ROI
-4.9%
win rate
57%
bets
2822
drawdown
398.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-93u
period 6top-up-726u
period 5top-up-882u
period 4top-up-803u
period 3top-up-789u
period 2top-up-764u
period 1top-up-80u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale6650%-1000-36.5%100%Select
1% of bankroll282257%-1088-4.3%119.9%Select
Flat (10 units)282257%-1143-4.1%125.8%Select
2% of bankroll282257%-2051-4.4%215.8%Select
5% of bankroll282257%-4138-4.9%398.9%Select
10% of bankroll282257%-5737-5.6%472.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2822, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4944won+22-3138
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6643won+28-3159
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4645lost-45-3187
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5547lost-47-3142
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8746won+40-3095
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6544won+29-3134
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7246lost-46-3163
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4345won+19-3117
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7844won+34-3136
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6046lost-46-3170
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7144won+31-3124
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4044won+17-3156
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6742won+28-3173
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8740won+35-3201
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7643lost-43-3237
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7041won+29-3194
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8040won+31-3223
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7138won+27-3254
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8337won+30-3282
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6236won+22-3312
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7834won+27-3334
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4533won+15-3360
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7232won+23-3376
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4632won+14-3399
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3431won+11-3413
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5330won+16-3424
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7929won+23-3440
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7528won+21-3463
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7730lost-30-3484
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5029won+14-3455
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7430lost-30-3469
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8229won+24-3439
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8231lost-31-3463
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4830won+14-3432
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3531lost-31-3446
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5531won+17-3415
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4730won+14-3432
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8129won+23-3446
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8128won+22-3469
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5329lost-29-3491
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2929won+8-3462
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4028won+11-3471
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6027won+16-3482
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5029lost-29-3498
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5028won+14-3469
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6930lost-30-3483
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7329won+21-3454
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6928won+19-3474
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7329lost-29-3493
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6331lost-31-3464
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6530won+19-3434
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6929won+20-3453
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8230lost-30-3473
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7132lost-32-3443
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8533lost-33-3411
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7735lost-35-3378
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8234won+28-3342
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4233won+14-3370
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3133won+10-3384
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareHoly Cannoli1.6734lost-34-3394
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.