Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+129u
ROI
+13.6%
win rate
78%
bets
9
drawdown
15.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+281u
period 3top-up-152u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 9 | 78% | +129 | +13.6% | 15.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 9 | 78% | +57 | +12.4% | 7.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 9 | 78% | +21 | +11.6% | 3.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 9 | 78% | +18 | +16.8% | 1.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 9 | 78% | +10 | +11.4% | 1.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 9 | 78% | +10 | +11.1% | 1.5% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 9, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 123 | won | +54 | 1129 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 117 | won | +53 | 1075 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 113 | won | +42 | 1022 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 109 | won | +44 | 980 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 104 | won | +51 | 936 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 100 | won | +37 | 885 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 94 | lost | -94 | 848 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 90 | won | +42 | 942 |
| 10.07.26 | LP – paiN | LP | 1.49 | 100 | lost | -100 | 900 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.