Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-57u
ROI
-56.6%
win rate
30%
bets
10
drawdown
6.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-40u
period 3top-up-25u
period 2profit withdrawn+9u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 10 | 30% | -56 | -56.4% | 6.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 10 | 30% | -57 | -56.6% | 6.5% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 10 | 30% | -110 | -56.2% | 12.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 10 | 30% | -264 | -55.5% | 29.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 10 | 30% | -313 | -78.2% | 31.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 10 | 30% | -491 | -54.3% | 53.3% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 10, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 943 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 953 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 963 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 973 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 983 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 993 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 989 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 999 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | LP | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 1009 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1005 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.