Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-125u
ROI
-8.7%
win rate
65%
bets
144
drawdown
14%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-15u
period 6top-up-35u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4top-up-59u
period 3profit withdrawn+1u
period 2top-up-18u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 144 | 65% | -125 | -8.7% | 14% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 144 | 65% | -126 | -8.8% | 14% | Select |
| Martingale | 144 | 65% | -244 | -7.8% | 33.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 144 | 65% | -253 | -9% | 27.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 144 | 65% | -640 | -9.4% | 68% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 144 | 65% | -1298 | -10.2% | 130.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 144, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 875 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 870 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 880 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 876 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 871 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 881 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 891 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Galorys | 1.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 901 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 10 | won | +4 | 911 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 908 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 903 |
| 07.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 899 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 895 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 891 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 887 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 10 | won | +3 | 883 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Eternal Fire | 1.24 | 10 | won | +2 | 880 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 878 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 874 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – MTX | FOKUS | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 884 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 880 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | Nemesis | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 890 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 886 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 882 |
| 27.09.26 | Fluxo – SAW | Fluxo | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 892 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | Imperial | 1.29 | 10 | won | +3 | 902 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 899 |
| 27.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Yawara | Yawara | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 895 |
| 26.09.26 | Legion – Rare Atom | Rare Atom | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 890 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 886 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 896 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemesis – Rune Eaters | Nemesis | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 891 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | LAG | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 886 |
| 24.09.26 | Galorys – Low Cortisol BR | Galorys | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 883 |
| 23.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – megoshort | Bushido Wildcats | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 878 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 874 |
| 23.09.26 | FlyQuest – LFO 8 | FlyQuest | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 884 |
| 22.09.26 | DAMAJUANA – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 879 |
| 22.09.26 | Inner Circle – 3DMAX | Inner Circle | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 874 |
| 22.09.26 | Johnny Speeds – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 884 |
| 22.09.26 | mellren – KUUSAMO | mellren | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 894 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 904 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 900 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 896 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 892 |
| 16.09.26 | Teletubisie – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 887 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 897 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 10 | won | +3 | 893 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 890 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 900 |
| 13.09.26 | INOX Division – FORZE Reload | INOX Division | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 896 |
| 12.09.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 906 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 902 |
| 11.09.26 | Luminosity – LP | LP | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 912 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1win | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 922 |
| 10.09.26 | Galorys – Back to Back | Galorys | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 918 |
| 10.09.26 | FOKUS – 1win | 1win | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 928 |
| 10.09.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – BET-M | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 938 |
| 10.09.26 | Voca – Villainous | Voca | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 934 |
| 09.09.26 | Phantom Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 931 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.