Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-51u
ROI
-28.1%
win rate
50%
bets
18
drawdown
5.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-9u
period 3top-up-21u
period 2top-up-21u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 18 | 50% | -51 | -28.1% | 5.5% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 18 | 50% | -51 | -28.2% | 5.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 18 | 50% | -60 | -16.7% | 7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 18 | 50% | -101 | -28.4% | 11% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 18 | 50% | -254 | -28.7% | 27.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 18 | 50% | -509 | -29.2% | 53.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 18, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Leo – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 949 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 959 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 969 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 964 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 960 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 970 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 966 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 962 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 958 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | HOTU | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 968 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | ex-RUBY | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 963 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 959 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – Astralis | HOTU | 1.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 969 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | TDK | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 979 |
| 14.06.26 | Ursa – GenOne | GenOne | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 975 |
| 14.06.26 | illwill – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 985 |
| 10.06.26 | SPARTA – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 995 |
| 09.06.26 | PsychoFace – GenOne | GenOne | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 1005 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.