Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-5u
ROI
-1.2%
win rate
65%
bets
26
drawdown
7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+28u
period 3profit withdrawn+1u
period 2top-up-34u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 26 | 65% | -5 | -1.2% | 7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 26 | 65% | -14 | -5.2% | 3.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 26 | 65% | -14 | -5.2% | 3.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 26 | 65% | -28 | -5.2% | 6.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 26 | 65% | -70 | -5.1% | 16.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 26 | 65% | -148 | -5% | 33% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 26, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 995 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 1005 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 40 | won | +18 | 1001 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 983 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1003 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Inner Circle | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 1013 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 1008 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1004 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 999 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 994 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 989 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 986 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 981 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 976 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 967 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | TDK | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 977 |
| 25.07.26 | NEW VISION – benched gods | benched gods | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 969 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 979 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 971 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 981 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 976 |
| 09.07.26 | RUSTEC – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 971 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | TDK | 1.45 | 80 | won | +36 | 966 |
| 14.06.26 | illwill – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.47 | 40 | lost | -40 | 930 |
| 10.06.26 | SPARTA – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.48 | 20 | lost | -20 | 970 |
| 03.06.26 | HEROIC Academy – TNC | TNC | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.