Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-60u
ROI
-2.4%
win rate
68%
bets
151
drawdown
17.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+35u
period 6top-up-29u
period 5profit withdrawn+47u
period 4top-up-126u
period 3profit withdrawn+23u
period 2top-up-10u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 151 | 68% | -60 | -2.4% | 17.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 151 | 68% | -70 | -4.7% | 11.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 151 | 68% | -72 | -4.8% | 11.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 151 | 68% | -145 | -4.9% | 23.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 151 | 68% | -380 | -5.2% | 55.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 151 | 68% | -812 | -5.8% | 105.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 151, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 940 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 930 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 940 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 935 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 10 | won | +3 | 931 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 928 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 919 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 929 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 920 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 10 | won | +3 | 930 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 927 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 917 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 927 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 10 | won | +4 | 923 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | Turma do Pagode | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 920 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 915 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 10 | lost | -10 | 905 |
| 07.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 915 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 912 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 908 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 903 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 898 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 10 | won | +3 | 894 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Prestige | Voca | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 891 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 40 | won | +13 | 886 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 874 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 894 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Anteiku | 100 Thieves | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 904 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 20 | won | +5 | 900 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 895 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | Nemesis | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 905 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 40 | won | +17 | 901 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 20 | lost | -20 | 885 |
| 27.09.26 | Rare Atom – The Huns | Rare Atom | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 905 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 915 |
| 27.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Yawara | Yawara | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 910 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 906 |
| 26.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.42 | 20 | won | +8 | 901 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 892 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 902 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 898 |
| 24.09.26 | Marsborne – Iowa Stormboar | Marsborne | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 894 |
| 24.09.26 | Isurus – Grêmio | Isurus | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 884 |
| 24.09.26 | Galorys – Low Cortisol BR | Galorys | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 894 |
| 23.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – megoshort | Bushido Wildcats | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 890 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 880 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 890 |
| 22.09.26 | ODDIK – Sementes do Mal | ODDIK | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 887 |
| 22.09.26 | DAMAJUANA – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.44 | 40 | won | +18 | 882 |
| 22.09.26 | Inner Circle – 3DMAX | Inner Circle | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 865 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | B8 | 1.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 885 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | LPH | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 895 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 891 |
| 18.09.26 | LP – BERG | LP | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 887 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | B8 | 1.33 | 10 | won | +3 | 882 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 879 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 874 |
| 16.09.26 | Teletubisie – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 864 |
| 16.09.26 | Marsborne – KODEX | Marsborne | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 874 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 870 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.