Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-15u
ROI
-4.3%
win rate
57%
bets
23
drawdown
4.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+3u
period 3top-up-32u
period 2profit withdrawn+13u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 23 | 57% | -15 | -4.3% | 4.2% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 23 | 57% | -43 | -18.7% | 6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 23 | 57% | -43 | -18.8% | 6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 23 | 57% | -85 | -18.7% | 11.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 23 | 57% | -204 | -18.6% | 27.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 23 | 57% | -384 | -18.3% | 48.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 23, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 985 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 995 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 20 | won | +9 | 990 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 981 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 991 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 982 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 992 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 20 | won | +7 | 988 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 981 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 991 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 981 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 20 | won | +8 | 991 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 40 | won | +18 | 994 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 975 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 995 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 40 | won | +17 | 1005 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 988 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1008 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1018 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | LP | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 1013 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1009 |
| 09.06.26 | PsychoFace – GenOne | GenOne | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 1005 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.