Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-116u
ROI
-8%
win rate
65%
bets
145
drawdown
13.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-21u
period 6top-up-34u
period 5top-up-28u
period 4top-up-22u
period 3profit withdrawn+22u
period 2top-up-34u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 145 | 65% | -116 | -8% | 13.9% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 145 | 65% | -117 | -8.2% | 14% | Select |
| Martingale | 145 | 65% | -201 | -6.5% | 30.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 145 | 65% | -236 | -8.4% | 27.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 145 | 65% | -601 | -9% | 66.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 145 | 65% | -1222 | -9.9% | 125.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 145, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 884 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 879 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 875 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 10 | won | +3 | 885 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 881 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | FarmVille | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 877 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 887 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 10 | lost | -10 | 882 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 892 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 902 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 912 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 922 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 919 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 914 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 909 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 10 | won | +3 | 905 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 902 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Anteiku | 100 Thieves | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 899 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 895 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 905 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | HOTU | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 900 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 897 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 893 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 1.33 | 10 | won | +3 | 903 |
| 27.09.26 | Rare Atom – The Huns | Rare Atom | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 900 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 910 |
| 27.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 905 |
| 27.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Yawara | Yawara | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 915 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 910 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | SportsBetExpert | 1.30 | 10 | won | +3 | 906 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 903 |
| 24.09.26 | Noir Verse – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 913 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 908 |
| 24.09.26 | paiN – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 904 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 914 |
| 24.09.26 | FlyQuest RED – Wanted Goons | FlyQuest RED | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 909 |
| 24.09.26 | Marsborne – Iowa Stormboar | Marsborne | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 919 |
| 24.09.26 | Isurus – Grêmio | Isurus | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 915 |
| 23.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – megoshort | Bushido Wildcats | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 925 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 920 |
| 22.09.26 | ODDIK – Sementes do Mal | ODDIK | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 930 |
| 22.09.26 | Revise – Fortress | Revise | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 926 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 922 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 918 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | B8 | 1.33 | 10 | won | +3 | 914 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 911 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 906 |
| 16.09.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 901 |
| 16.09.26 | Marsborne – KODEX | Marsborne | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 897 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 893 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 10 | won | +3 | 889 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 886 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 896 |
| 13.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – megoshort | Bushido Wildcats | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 892 |
| 13.09.26 | INOX Division – FORZE Reload | INOX Division | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 887 |
| 12.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 897 |
| 12.09.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 907 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 903 |
| 11.09.26 | Luminosity – LP | LP | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 913 |
| 11.09.26 | Inner Circle Academy – megoshort | Inner Circle Academy | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 923 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.