Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+36u
ROI
+12.8%
win rate
73%
bets
22
drawdown
1.7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+30u
period 3profit withdrawn+1u
period 2profit withdrawn+4u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 22 | 73% | +93 | +4.4% | 32.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 22 | 73% | +51 | +4.7% | 16.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 22 | 73% | +36 | +12.8% | 1.7% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 22 | 73% | +21 | +4.8% | 6.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 22 | 73% | +11 | +4.9% | 3.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 22 | 73% | +11 | +4.8% | 3.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 22, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 10 | won | +3 | 1036 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 10 | won | +4 | 1033 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1028 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 1024 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1019 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1014 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1009 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1005 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 20 | won | +7 | 1000 |
| 03.08.26 | 1win – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 992 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 20 | won | +7 | 1002 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 996 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 20 | won | +8 | 1006 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | TDK | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 998 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 1008 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 999 |
| 27.07.26 | BRUTE – LEO SE | BRUTE | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 1009 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 999 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1009 |
| 17.06.26 | KOLESIE – illwill | KOLESIE | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1004 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 999 |
| 14.06.26 | illwill – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.