Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-214u
ROI
-7%
win rate
64%
bets
147
drawdown
38.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+27u
period 6top-up-22u
period 5profit withdrawn+14u
period 4top-up-229u
period 3profit withdrawn+4u
period 2top-up-8u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 147 | 64% | -150 | -10.3% | 18.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 147 | 64% | -150 | -10.2% | 18.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 147 | 64% | -214 | -7% | 38.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 147 | 64% | -297 | -10.5% | 36.1% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 147 | 64% | -730 | -10.8% | 85.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 147 | 64% | -1410 | -11.3% | 157.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 147, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 786 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 782 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 772 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 782 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 778 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 10 | lost | -10 | 769 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 10 | won | +3 | 779 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 776 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | Turma do Pagode | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 771 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 10 | won | +4 | 767 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 763 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 758 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 751 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 761 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 756 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 10 | won | +3 | 753 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 20 | won | +6 | 750 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 743 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 20 | won | +5 | 753 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 748 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | Nemesis | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 758 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | HOTU | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 755 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 20 | won | +8 | 752 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 743 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | Imperial | 1.29 | 10 | won | +3 | 753 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 750 |
| 27.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 742 |
| 27.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Yawara | Yawara | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 752 |
| 26.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 747 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | SportsBetExpert | 1.30 | 20 | won | +6 | 743 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 737 |
| 25.09.26 | NEXVOID – Legion | NEXVOID | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 747 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | Nemiga | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 742 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – RBLS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 735 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 745 |
| 24.09.26 | paiN – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 737 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Nemiga | 1.26 | 10 | won | +3 | 747 |
| 24.09.26 | Marsborne – Iowa Stormboar | Marsborne | 1.49 | 80 | won | +39 | 744 |
| 24.09.26 | FlyQuest RED – Wanted Goons | FlyQuest RED | 1.46 | 40 | lost | -40 | 704 |
| 24.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Keyd Stars | Keyd Stars | 1.38 | 20 | lost | -20 | 744 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 764 |
| 22.09.26 | ODDIK – Sementes do Mal | ODDIK | 1.42 | 40 | won | +17 | 774 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | B8 | 1.37 | 20 | lost | -20 | 758 |
| 22.09.26 | Johnny Speeds – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 778 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 788 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 783 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | B8 | 1.33 | 10 | won | +3 | 779 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 776 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 772 |
| 16.09.26 | Teletubisie – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 762 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 20 | won | +6 | 772 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 766 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 40 | won | +17 | 776 |
| 13.09.26 | INOX Division – FORZE Reload | INOX Division | 1.44 | 20 | lost | -20 | 759 |
| 12.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 779 |
| 12.09.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.40 | 20 | won | +8 | 789 |
| 11.09.26 | Luminosity – LP | LP | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 781 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1win | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 791 |
| 10.09.26 | Galorys – Back to Back | Galorys | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 783 |
| 10.09.26 | INOX Division – Black Phoenix | INOX Division | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 793 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.