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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
-130u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
68%
bets
336
drawdown
21.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+17u
period 6top-up-57u
period 5profit withdrawn+20u
period 4top-up-76u
period 3profit withdrawn+5u
period 2top-up-39u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)33668%-130-3.9%21.7%Selected
1% of bankroll33668%-132-4%21.2%Select
2% of bankroll33668%-267-4.2%40.7%Select
Martingale33668%-375-5.5%54.4%Select
5% of bankroll33668%-688-4.7%90.2%Select
10% of bankroll33668%-1427-5.5%160.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 336, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+4870
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+5866
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10861
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4871
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4867
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5863
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5859
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5854
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5849
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10844
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5854
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3850
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4847
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10843
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+5853
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4110won+4848
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4210won+4844
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3510won+3839
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaNemiga1.2310lost-10836
10.10.26mellren – Honvédmellren1.3610won+4846
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalAbyssal1.4910won+5842
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4510won+5837
10.10.26BGNS Orange – Ground ZeroGround Zero1.5010won+5833
10.10.26THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS OrangeTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1.4810lost-10828
09.10.26Sangal – G2 AresSangal1.4810won+5838
09.10.26Lavked – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4210won+4833
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4810lost-10829
09.10.26Vitality – PARIVISIONVitality1.3910won+4839
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4510won+5835
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3610lost-10830
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4010lost-10840
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5010lost-10850
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4910lost-10860
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4910won+5870
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3210won+3866
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4210lost-10862
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3910won+4872
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPLP1.3510won+4868
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.5010won+5865
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4210lost-10860
07.10.26Vexar – PrivateerVexar1.3110lost-10870
07.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.2810lost-10880
07.10.26Alter Ego – LegionAlter Ego1.4710won+5890
07.10.26OG – SINQUOG1.4110won+4885
07.10.26G2 Ares – SINQUG2 Ares1.5010won+5881
07.10.26HOTU – STATEHOTU1.4510won+5876
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereFalcons1.4610won+5872
04.10.26Spirit – PARIVISIONSpirit1.2210won+2867
03.10.26Banda Chuya – INOX DivisionINOX Division1.4110won+4865
03.10.26Spirit – ShindeNSpirit1.3710won+4861
02.10.26Alliance – NemigaNemiga1.3010won+3857
02.10.26Eternal Fire – AnteikuEternal Fire1.2410won+2854
02.10.26Voca – PrestigeVoca1.4710won+5852
02.10.26Johnny Speeds – MTXJohnny Speeds1.4510lost-10847
02.10.26SportsBetExpert – XEPTSportsBetExpert1.3210won+3857
02.10.26Sangal – XEPTSangal1.3810won+4854
02.10.26Nordic Partners – SINNERSSINNERS1.4810won+5850
02.10.26EAC EXTRA – FOKUSFOKUS1.4810won+5845
02.10.26BBL – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.3710lost-10840
02.10.26Eternal Fire – Nordic PartnersEternal Fire1.2910won+3850
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.