Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-84u
ROI
-19%
win rate
57%
bets
44
drawdown
9.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-25u
period 3top-up-71u
period 2profit withdrawn+22u
period 1top-up-10u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 44 | 57% | -82 | -18.8% | 9.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 44 | 57% | -84 | -19% | 9.5% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 44 | 57% | -160 | -18.7% | 18.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 44 | 57% | -202 | -15.5% | 30.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 44 | 57% | -371 | -18.2% | 41.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 44 | 57% | -655 | -17.3% | 69.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 44, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 916 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 926 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 921 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 917 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 927 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 937 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 947 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 944 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 939 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 949 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 945 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 941 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 937 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 932 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 929 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 925 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 921 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 931 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 927 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 922 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 932 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 942 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 952 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 948 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 958 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | TDK | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 953 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BAKS | TDK | 1.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 949 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 959 |
| 26.07.26 | QUAZAR – NEW VISION | QUAZAR | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 969 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – Astralis | HOTU | 1.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 979 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 989 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 999 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 995 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | ex-RUBY | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 1005 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1001 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1011 |
| 07.07.26 | PsychoFace – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 1006 |
| 01.07.26 | PARIVISION – Alliance | Alliance | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1002 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | LP | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 1012 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1008 |
| 12.06.26 | SPARTA – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 10 | won | +4 | 1004 |
| 09.06.26 | PsychoFace – GenOne | GenOne | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 999 |
| 06.06.26 | aAa – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 995 |
| 29.05.26 | TNC – Young Ninjas | TNC | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.