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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-670u
ROI
-5.2%
win rate
56%
bets
1373
drawdown
72.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-152u
period 6top-up-212u
period 5top-up-233u
period 4top-up-85u
period 3profit withdrawn+3u
period 2profit withdrawn+30u
period 1top-up-22u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale112856%+559+2.1%41.7%Select
1% of bankroll137356%-670-5.2%72.1%Selected
Flat (10 units)137356%-697-5.1%74.8%Select
2% of bankroll137356%-1287-5.3%126.1%Select
5% of bankroll137356%-2852-5.7%214.9%Select
10% of bankroll137356%-4737-6.2%242.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1373, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.498won+4330
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.848won+7326
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.748lost-8319
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.788won+7327
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.608lost-8320
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.718won+6329
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.768lost-8323
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.808won+7332
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.538won+4325
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.828won+7320
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.828lost-8314
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.728won+6322
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.358lost-8316
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.478won+4324
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.818won+7320
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.538lost-8314
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.868lost-8322
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.418won+3331
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.318won+3327
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USWildcard1.698won+6324
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.728won+6319
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.728lost-8313
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.518won+4321
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.458won+4317
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.788lost-8313
10.10.26regain – Villainousregain1.628won+5321
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.808won+7316
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.628lost-8310
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.608won+5318
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.488lost-8313
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.588won+5321
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.738lost-8317
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.698won+6325
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.638lost-8319
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.458won+4328
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.409lost-9324
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.758won+6332
09.10.26New Legends – Wanted GoonsNew Legends1.589lost-9326
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.609lost-9335
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.829won+7343
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.799lost-9336
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.269won+2345
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixBlack Phoenix1.819won+7343
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.739lost-9336
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.549won+5344
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.499won+4340
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoAlter Ego1.659lost-9336
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingRare Atom1.579lost-9344
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.869lost-9353
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.429lost-9362
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.519lost-9371
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.639won+6380
08.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.519won+5374
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.779lost-9369
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.399won+3378
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPLP1.359won+3375
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSTurma do Pagode1.459won+4372
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.879lost-9368
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.509won+4377
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSangal1.729won+6372
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.