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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-634u
ROI
-2.4%
win rate
58%
bets
2823
drawdown
82.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+114u
period 6top-up-290u
period 5top-up-308u
period 4top-up-65u
period 3top-up-87u
period 2top-up-99u
period 1profit withdrawn+101u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282358%-634-2.4%82.4%Selected
Flat (10 units)282358%-669-2.4%87.5%Select
2% of bankroll282358%-1192-2.5%134.1%Select
5% of bankroll282358%-2431-2.5%208.9%Select
10% of bankroll282358%-3670-2.7%246.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2823, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4911won+5366
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5511won+6360
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6611won+7354
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4611lost-11347
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8711won+10358
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5511lost-11349
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6511won+7360
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7211lost-11353
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4311won+5364
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7811won+9359
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6011lost-11351
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7111won+8362
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4011won+4354
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6711won+7349
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6011won+6342
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7611lost-11336
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7011won+8347
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8011won+9339
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7111won+8330
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8211lost-11323
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6211won+7334
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7811won+8327
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4511won+5319
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7211won+8314
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5306
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3410won+4301
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8298
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+6290
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7510won+8284
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10276
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5287
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7510won+8282
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8274
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10266
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5276
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10271
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6281
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5276
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8110won+8271
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10263
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8273
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3265
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4262
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6258
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10252
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8610lost-10262
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-10272
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7282
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+7275
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7310lost-10268
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6310lost-10278
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6210won+6289
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910won+7282
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-10275
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7110lost-10285
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8511lost-11296
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7711lost-11306
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8211won+9317
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4211won+4308
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3110won+3304
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.