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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 2470 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0 · 1% of bankrollits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+4179u
profit
+16.3%
ROI
57%
win rate
44.5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+2759u
profit
+20%
ROI
55%
win rate
21.5%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+2753u
profit
+10.8%
ROI
54%
win rate
61%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+2115u
profit
+16.6%
ROI
57%
win rate
27.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+1473u
profit
+21.2%
ROI
57%
win rate
56.4%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+1427u
profit
+11.3%
ROI
54%
win rate
36.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+1396u
profit
+20.4%
ROI
55%
win rate
14%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+1232u
profit
+14.3%
ROI
54%
win rate
56.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+1024u
profit
+31.2%
ROI
55%
win rate
16.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+852u
profit
+16.8%
ROI
57%
win rate
12.4%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+583u
profit
+11.5%
ROI
54%
win rate
16.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+561u
profit
+20.6%
ROI
55%
win rate
7.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+428u
profit
+16.9%
ROI
57%
win rate
6.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+427u
profit
+16.8%
ROI
57%
win rate
6.5%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+296u
profit
+11.7%
ROI
54%
win rate
8.3%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+294u
profit
+11.6%
ROI
54%
win rate
8.4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+282u
profit
+20.7%
ROI
55%
win rate
4.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+281u
profit
+20.6%
ROI
55%
win rate
4.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+258u
profit
+257.5%
ROI
100%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+129u
profit
+257.5%
ROI
100%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+52u
profit
+257.5%
ROI
100%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+26u
profit
+257.5%
ROI
100%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+26u
profit
+257.5%
ROI
100%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+26u
profit
+257.5%
ROI
100%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-38u
profit
-34.1%
ROI
45%
win rate
4.6%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-38u
profit
-34.1%
ROI
45%
win rate
4.6%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingalepayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-73u
profit
-19.1%
ROI
45%
win rate
15.2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-75u
profit
-34.1%
ROI
45%
win rate
9.2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-187u
profit
-34%
ROI
45%
win rate
23.1%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-373u
profit
-33.8%
ROI
45%
win rate
46.2%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-476u
profit
-18.8%
ROI
46%
win rate
50%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-476u
profit
-18.8%
ROI
46%
win rate
50%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-477u
profit
-18.9%
ROI
46%
win rate
50.1%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-477u
profit
-18.9%
ROI
46%
win rate
50.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-956u
profit
-18.9%
ROI
46%
win rate
99%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-956u
profit
-18.9%
ROI
46%
win rate
99%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1038u
profit
-90.3%
ROI
31%
win rate
103.7%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: dailyruin

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1038u
profit
-90.3%
ROI
31%
win rate
103.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-2405u
profit
-19.2%
ROI
46%
win rate
239.5%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-2405u
profit
-19.2%
ROI
46%
win rate
239.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-4862u
profit
-19.5%
ROI
46%
win rate
457.4%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: daily

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-4862u
profit
-19.5%
ROI
46%
win rate
457.4%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.