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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 5555 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2) · 10% of bankrollits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+908u
profit
+7.4%
ROI
59%
win rate
42.1%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+908u
profit
+7.4%
ROI
59%
win rate
42.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-22u
profit
-0.4%
ROI
59%
win rate
23.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-22u
profit
-0.4%
ROI
59%
win rate
23.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-41u
profit
-0.8%
ROI
59%
win rate
23.8%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-41u
profit
-0.8%
ROI
59%
win rate
23.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-43u
profit
-25.2%
ROI
24%
win rate
9.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-43u
profit
-26.3%
ROI
24%
win rate
9.6%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-50u
profit
-10.2%
ROI
65%
win rate
8.6%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-50u
profit
-9.8%
ROI
65%
win rate
8.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-88u
profit
-27.4%
ROI
24%
win rate
18.3%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-99u
profit
-10.6%
ROI
65%
win rate
16.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-116u
profit
-1.1%
ROI
59%
win rate
43.3%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-116u
profit
-1.1%
ROI
59%
win rate
43.3%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-144u
profit
-11.2%
ROI
65%
win rate
30.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-224u
profit
-30.5%
ROI
24%
win rate
40.1%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-244u
profit
-11.8%
ROI
65%
win rate
37.1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-331u
profit
-11.8%
ROI
39%
win rate
33.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-381u
profit
-11.2%
ROI
39%
win rate
38.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-441u
profit
-35%
ROI
24%
win rate
65.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-453u
profit
-2.1%
ROI
59%
win rate
79.8%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-453u
profit
-2.1%
ROI
59%
win rate
79.8%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-463u
profit
-13.9%
ROI
65%
win rate
61.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-466u
profit
-11.2%
ROI
42%
win rate
48.1%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-486u
profit
-11.9%
ROI
41%
win rate
48.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-572u
profit
-12.4%
ROI
39%
win rate
57.2%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-597u
profit
-11%
ROI
42%
win rate
60.8%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-635u
profit
-11.6%
ROI
41%
win rate
63.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-733u
profit
-11.6%
ROI
42%
win rate
74.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-752u
profit
-12.4%
ROI
41%
win rate
75.2%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-891u
profit
-2.8%
ROI
59%
win rate
97.9%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-891u
profit
-2.8%
ROI
59%
win rate
97.9%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-913u
profit
-15.3%
ROI
39%
win rate
91.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-977u
profit
-13.9%
ROI
42%
win rate
98%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-981u
profit
-15.4%
ROI
41%
win rate
98.1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-997u
profit
-25.1%
ROI
39%
win rate
99.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1000u
profit
-18.8%
ROI
42%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1000u
profit
-21.5%
ROI
41%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingaleno resetruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1000u
profit
-47.4%
ROI
41%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingaleno resetruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1000u
profit
-26.8%
ROI
33%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingaleno resetruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

-1000u
profit
-83.7%
ROI
17%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingaleno resetruin

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1000u
profit
-48.8%
ROI
39%
win rate
100%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)no reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellyno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingaleno reset

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.