Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-4336u
ROI
-89%
win rate
4%
bets
487
drawdown
433.6%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-60u
period 24top-up-180u
period 23top-up-201u
period 22top-up-246u
period 21top-up-210u
period 20top-up-180u
period 19top-up-150u
period 18top-up-174u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1070 | -100% | 107% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 487 | 4% | -3971 | -89.3% | 397.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 487 | 4% | -4336 | -89% | 433.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 487 | 4% | -7292 | -89.5% | 729.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 487 | 4% | -14329 | -90.2% | 1432.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 476 | 3% | -18473 | -94.4% | 1847.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 487 | 4% | -20184 | -91.3% | 2018.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 487, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3336 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3326 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3316 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | GLYPH | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3306 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | OG | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3296 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | VooDooSh Team | 4.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3286 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | BETBOOM Team | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3276 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Yakult Brothers | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3266 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3256 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 3.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3246 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3236 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team | Nigma Galaxy | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3226 |
| 29.07.26 | Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH Team | Rostik Team | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3216 |
| 28.07.26 | NS Team – TpaBoMaH Team | NS Team | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3206 |
| 27.07.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | Rostik Team | 3.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3196 |
| 20.07.26 | Zero Tenacity – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 3.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3186 |
| 17.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM Team | Nigma Galaxy | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3176 |
| 12.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Nemesis | Team Nemesis | 2.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3166 |
| 11.07.26 | PlayTime – Nigma Galaxy | PlayTime | 5.80 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3156 |
| 10.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Spirit | REKONIX | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3146 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Yandex – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3136 |
| 08.07.26 | GamerLegion – Xtreme Gaming | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3126 |
| 08.07.26 | Poor Rangers – BETBOOM Team | Poor Rangers | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3116 |
| 07.07.26 | Inner Circle – 1w Team | Inner Circle | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3106 |
| 28.06.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Yellow Submarine | Yellow Submarine | 5.80 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3096 |
| 28.06.26 | By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE Team | ALOHADANCE Team | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3086 |
| 27.06.26 | Natus Vincere – L1ga Team | Natus Vincere | 2.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3076 |
| 25.06.26 | Team Spirit – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3066 |
| 24.06.26 | Recrent Team – Stray Team | Recrent Team | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3056 |
| 24.06.26 | Dread Team – DangerLyoha Team | DangerLyoha Team | 3.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3046 |
| 21.06.26 | InterActive Philippines – Mentality Monster | InterActive Philippines | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3036 |
| 21.06.26 | Grind Back – Carstensz Esports | Carstensz Esports | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3026 |
| 19.06.26 | summer bear – Power Rangers | summer bear | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3016 |
| 17.06.26 | Power Rangers – Flame Esports | Flame Esports | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3006 |
| 16.06.26 | Flame Esports – Team Spirit Academy | Flame Esports | 4.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2996 |
| 13.06.26 | Estar Backs – Gior Dota Team | Gior Dota Team | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2986 |
| 11.06.26 | Phenomenon – NA Last Hope | Phenomenon | 2.90 | 10 | won | +19 | -2976 |
| 11.06.26 | Team Nemesis – Gior Dota Team | Gior Dota Team | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2995 |
| 10.06.26 | L1ga Team – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2985 |
| 07.06.26 | BETBOOM Team – LGD Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 2.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2975 |
| 06.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | TpaBoMaH Club | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2965 |
| 05.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2955 |
| 05.06.26 | Execration – REKONIX | Execration | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2945 |
| 04.06.26 | Carstensz Esports – REKONIX | Carstensz Esports | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2935 |
| 02.06.26 | L1ga Team – Poor Rangers | L1ga Team | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2925 |
| 02.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2915 |
| 01.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | TpaBoMaH Club | 6.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2905 |
| 30.05.26 | Team Spirit – OG | OG | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2895 |
| 29.05.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | Team Yandex | 2.70 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2885 |
| 28.05.26 | NS Club – Ramzes Club | NS Club | 5.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2875 |
| 27.05.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | LGD Gaming | 4.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2865 |
| 27.05.26 | OG – Team Yandex | OG | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2855 |
| 26.05.26 | PARIVISION – Team Yandex | PARIVISION | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2845 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Falcons – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 5.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2835 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2825 |
| 26.05.26 | GLYPH – LGD Gaming | GLYPH | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2815 |
| 24.05.26 | Recrent Team – Solo Team | Recrent Team | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2805 |
| 23.05.26 | Miposhka Team – Stray Team | Miposhka Team | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2795 |
| 22.05.26 | Aurora Gaming – Tundra Esports | Tundra Esports | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2785 |
| 17.05.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 8.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2775 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.