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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-4336u
ROI
-89%
win rate
4%
bets
487
drawdown
433.6%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-60u
period 24top-up-180u
period 23top-up-201u
period 22top-up-246u
period 21top-up-210u
period 20top-up-180u
period 19top-up-150u
period 18top-up-174u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
1% of bankroll4874%-3971-89.3%397.1%Select
Flat (10 units)4874%-4336-89%433.6%Select
2% of bankroll4874%-7292-89.5%729.2%Select
5% of bankroll4874%-14329-90.2%1432.9%Select
Quarter Kelly4763%-18473-94.4%1847.3%Select
10% of bankroll4874%-20184-91.3%2018.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 487, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-3336
13.08.26PARIVISION Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-3326
03.08.26Team Liquid Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0010lost-10-3316
03.08.26GLYPH PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-3306
02.08.26Vici Gaming OGOG13.0010lost-10-3296
01.08.26NS Team VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2010lost-10-3286
31.07.26BETBOOM Team Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0010lost-10-3276
31.07.26Yakult Brothers Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0010lost-10-3266
31.07.26Amaru Gaming Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0010lost-10-3256
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0010lost-10-3246
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0010lost-10-3236
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0010lost-10-3226
29.07.26Rostik Team TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0010lost-10-3216
28.07.26NS Team TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-3206
27.07.26NS Team Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6010lost-10-3196
20.07.26Zero Tenacity Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6010lost-10-3186
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0010lost-10-3176
12.07.26REKONIX Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.9010lost-10-3166
11.07.26PlayTime Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8010lost-10-3156
10.07.26REKONIX Team SpiritREKONIX15.0010lost-10-3146
08.07.26Team Yandex Inner CircleInner Circle15.0010lost-10-3136
08.07.26GamerLegion Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-3126
08.07.26Poor Rangers BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0010lost-10-3116
07.07.26Inner Circle 1w TeamInner Circle15.0010lost-10-3106
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.8010lost-10-3096
28.06.26By_Owl Team ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.0010lost-10-3086
27.06.26Natus Vincere L1ga TeamNatus Vincere2.2510lost-10-3076
25.06.26Team Spirit Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.0010lost-10-3066
24.06.26Recrent Team Stray TeamRecrent Team10.0010lost-10-3056
24.06.26Dread Team DangerLyoha TeamDangerLyoha Team3.2010lost-10-3046
21.06.26InterActive Philippines Mentality MonsterInterActive Philippines10.0010lost-10-3036
21.06.26Grind Back Carstensz EsportsCarstensz Esports13.0010lost-10-3026
19.06.26summer bear Power Rangerssummer bear13.0010lost-10-3016
17.06.26Power Rangers Flame EsportsFlame Esports12.0010lost-10-3006
16.06.26Flame Esports Team Spirit AcademyFlame Esports4.2010lost-10-2996
13.06.26Estar Backs Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0010lost-10-2986
11.06.26Phenomenon NA Last HopePhenomenon2.9010won+19-2976
11.06.26Team Nemesis Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0010lost-10-2995
10.06.26L1ga Team Zero TenacityZero Tenacity11.0010lost-10-2985
07.06.26BETBOOM Team LGD GamingBETBOOM Team2.2510lost-10-2975
06.06.26Ramzes Club TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club3.1010lost-10-2965
05.06.26LGD Gaming Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-2955
05.06.26Execration REKONIXExecration13.0010lost-10-2945
04.06.26Carstensz Esports REKONIXCarstensz Esports12.0010lost-10-2935
02.06.26L1ga Team Poor RangersL1ga Team13.0010lost-10-2925
02.06.26LGD Gaming Natus VincereNatus Vincere13.0010lost-10-2915
01.06.26Ramzes Club TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club6.6010lost-10-2905
30.05.26Team Spirit OGOG15.0010lost-10-2895
29.05.26Team Yandex LGD GamingTeam Yandex2.7010lost-10-2885
28.05.26NS Club Ramzes ClubNS Club5.3010lost-10-2875
27.05.26LGD Gaming Team LiquidLGD Gaming4.5010lost-10-2865
27.05.26OG Team YandexOG15.0010lost-10-2855
26.05.26PARIVISION Team YandexPARIVISION15.0010lost-10-2845
26.05.26Team Falcons LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0010lost-10-2835
26.05.26Team Liquid Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-2825
26.05.26GLYPH LGD GamingGLYPH2.3510lost-10-2815
24.05.26Recrent Team Solo TeamRecrent Team12.0010lost-10-2805
23.05.26Miposhka Team Stray TeamMiposhka Team10.0010lost-10-2795
22.05.26Aurora Gaming Tundra EsportsTundra Esports11.0010lost-10-2785
17.05.26Team Falcons GamerLegionGamerLegion8.5010lost-10-2775
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.