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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-10731u
ROI
-86.8%
win rate
4%
bets
1237
drawdown
1073.1%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-248u
period 24top-up-336u
period 23top-up-441u
period 22top-up-554u
period 21top-up-550u
period 20top-up-400u
period 19top-up-454u
period 18top-up-568u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll12374%-8646-87.2%864.6%Select
Flat (10 units)12374%-10731-86.8%1073.1%Selected
2% of bankroll12374%-14183-87.6%1418.3%Select
5% of bankroll12374%-21580-89%2158%Select
Quarter Kelly12013%-23851-95.1%2385.1%Select
10% of bankroll12374%-24239-90.7%2423.9%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1237, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-9731
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0010lost-10-9721
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.0010lost-10-9711
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.0010lost-10-9701
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.0010lost-10-9691
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.3010lost-10-9681
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9671
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-9661
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-9651
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-9641
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.0010lost-10-9631
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0010lost-10-9621
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0010lost-10-9611
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0010lost-10-9601
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPLevel UP2.2510won+12-9591
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.0010lost-10-9604
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0010lost-10-9594
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0010lost-10-9584
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersVici Gaming3.6010lost-10-9574
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming3.3010lost-10-9564
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-9554
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0010lost-10-9544
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-9534
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0010lost-10-9524
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2010lost-10-9514
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0010lost-10-9504
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0010lost-10-9494
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0010lost-10-9484
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0010lost-10-9474
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.5010lost-10-9464
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.0010lost-10-9454
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0010lost-10-9444
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0010lost-10-9434
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9424
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0010lost-10-9414
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0010lost-10-9404
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0010lost-10-9394
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-9384
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.0010lost-10-9374
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-9364
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6010lost-10-9354
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.5010lost-10-9344
21.07.26Team Lynx – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4010won+14-9334
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.0010lost-10-9348
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6010lost-10-9338
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.0010lost-10-9328
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9318
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.0010lost-10-9308
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9298
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0010lost-10-9288
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0010lost-10-9278
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.0010lost-10-9268
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.9010lost-10-9258
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8010lost-10-9248
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0010lost-10-9238
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.0010lost-10-9228
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0010lost-10-9218
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9208
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0010lost-10-9198
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-9188
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.