Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-14189u
ROI
-87%
win rate
4%
bets
2507
drawdown
1418.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-387u
period 24top-up-372u
period 23top-up-532u
period 22top-up-730u
period 21top-up-600u
period 20top-up-606u
period 19top-up-600u
period 18top-up-707u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1000 | -100% | 100% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 526 | 6% | -4378 | -83.3% | 437.8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2507 | 4% | -14189 | -87% | 1418.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2507 | 4% | -20000 | -87.5% | 2000% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2507 | 4% | -24196 | -88.7% | 2419.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 2437 | 3% | -24817 | -91.9% | 2481.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2507 | 4% | -24861 | -89.4% | 2486.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2507, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13189 |
| 20.08.26 | PARIVISION – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13183 |
| 16.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Yandex | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13177 |
| 15.08.26 | OG – GamerLegion | OG | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13170 |
| 15.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Xtreme Gaming | 11.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13164 |
| 15.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | Team Spirit | 14.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13158 |
| 15.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – Aurora Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13151 |
| 15.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Liquid | 1w Team | 5.30 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13145 |
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13138 |
| 15.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13131 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13124 |
| 14.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Nigma Galaxy | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13118 |
| 14.08.26 | Team Yandex – Team Liquid | Team Yandex | 4.80 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13111 |
| 13.08.26 | OG – Nigma Galaxy | OG | 5.80 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13104 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13097 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13090 |
| 12.08.26 | Level UP – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 4.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13082 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13075 |
| 11.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Zero Tenacity | Yellow Submarine | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13068 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – MOUZ | MOUZ | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -13060 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Natus Vincere | Rune Eaters | 15.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -13053 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters Arise – No Hoodwink | Rune Eaters Arise | 12.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -13045 |
| 08.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – No Hoodwink | Ilbirs eSports | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -13038 |
| 07.08.26 | Team Jenz – Nemiga Gaming | Team Jenz | 14.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -13030 |
| 07.08.26 | Zero Tenacity – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -13022 |
| 06.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Power Rangers | Ilbirs eSports | 6.60 | 8 | lost | -8 | -13014 |
| 06.08.26 | No Hoodwink – Level UP | Level UP | 2.25 | 8 | won | +10 | -13006 |
| 05.08.26 | Team Liquid – 1w Team | 1w Team | 15.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -13016 |
| 05.08.26 | PlayTime – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 15.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -13008 |
| 05.08.26 | 1w Team – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -13000 |
| 04.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Falcons | Team Liquid | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12992 |
| 04.08.26 | Yakult Brothers – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 12.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12984 |
| 04.08.26 | PlayTime – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12976 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 10.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12967 |
| 03.08.26 | Vici Gaming – Yakult Brothers | Vici Gaming | 3.60 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12959 |
| 03.08.26 | OG – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12950 |
| 03.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Xtreme Gaming | 3.30 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12942 |
| 03.08.26 | LGD Gaming – 1w Team | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12933 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | GLYPH | 14.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12924 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Liquid – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 5.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12915 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | OG | 13.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12906 |
| 02.08.26 | TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team | Stray Team | 13.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12897 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Falcons – 1w Team | 1w Team | 15.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12888 |
| 02.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Team Resilience | Yellow Submarine | 14.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12879 |
| 01.08.26 | Stray Team – TpaBoMaH Team | Stray Team | 13.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12870 |
| 01.08.26 | GLYPH – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 6.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12860 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | VooDooSh Team | 4.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12851 |
| 01.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12841 |
| 01.08.26 | Daxak Team – Team avice | Daxak Team | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12831 |
| 01.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12822 |
| 01.08.26 | Midas Club – Team Resilience | Midas Club | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12812 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | BETBOOM Team | 11.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12802 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Yakult Brothers | 14.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12795 |
| 31.07.26 | Enjoy Boys – GLYPH | Enjoy Boys | 14.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12789 |
| 31.07.26 | L1ga Team – REKONIX | L1ga Team | 8.50 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12783 |
| 31.07.26 | LGD Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 7.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12776 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 11.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12769 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 3.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12763 |
| 30.07.26 | Team Falcons – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12756 |
| 30.07.26 | Stray Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 12.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12749 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.