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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-4378u
ROI
-83.3%
win rate
6%
bets
526
drawdown
437.8%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
Flat (10 units)5266%-4378-83.3%437.8%Select
1% of bankroll25074%-14189-87%1418.9%Select
2% of bankroll25074%-20000-87.5%2000%Select
5% of bankroll25074%-24196-88.7%2419.6%Select
Quarter Kelly24373%-24817-91.9%2481.7%Select
10% of bankroll25074%-24861-89.4%2486.1%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 526, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
26.01.25Aurora Gaming – Xtreme GamingAurora Gaming14.006lost-6-3378
26.01.25Yakult Brothers – AVULUSYakult Brothers13.0010lost-10-3372
26.01.25Wildcard Gaming – Tundra EsportsWildcard Gaming14.0010lost-10-3362
26.01.25Team Liquid – PARIVISIONTeam Liquid11.0010lost-10-3352
25.01.25Shopify Rebellion – AVULUSShopify Rebellion15.0010lost-10-3342
25.01.25Xtreme Gaming – Chimera EsportsChimera Esports6.3010lost-10-3332
25.01.25BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid8.5010lost-10-3322
24.01.25Aurora Gaming – HeroicAurora Gaming13.0010lost-10-3312
24.01.25Tundra Esports – Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion14.0010lost-10-3302
24.01.25Team Spirit – Yakult BrothersTeam Spirit2.1510won+12-3292
24.01.25Zero Tenacity – 4Pirates4Pirates12.0010lost-10-3304
24.01.25Zero Tenacity – ASAKURAASAKURA2.7010lost-10-3294
24.01.25Team Liquid – Talon EsportsTalon Esports4.0010lost-10-3284
24.01.25PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0510lost-10-3274
24.01.25LFG – MOUZMOUZ2.1010lost-10-3264
24.01.25Tundra Esports – Yakult BrothersTundra Esports14.0010lost-10-3254
24.01.25Xtreme Gaming – Wildcard GamingXtreme Gaming14.0010lost-10-3244
23.01.25MOUZ – LFGLFG12.0010lost-10-3234
23.01.25LFG – Quantum TeamLFG5.3010lost-10-3224
23.01.25Lesnaya Bratva – MOUZLesnaya Bratva13.0010lost-10-3214
23.01.25Into The Breach – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity12.0010lost-10-3204
23.01.25Passion UA – One MoveOne Move5.3010lost-10-3194
23.01.25MOUZ – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.8010won+18-3184
22.01.25Into The Breach – Lesnaya BratvaLesnaya Bratva3.6010lost-10-3202
22.01.25One Move – Night PulseOne Move7.5010lost-10-3192
21.01.25MOUZ – Nemiga GamingMOUZ3.0010lost-10-3182
21.01.25Winter Bear – ASAKURAWinter Bear2.8010lost-10-3172
21.01.25Lesnaya Bratva – ASAKURALesnaya Bratva2.1510lost-10-3162
21.01.25Shopify Rebellion – Wildcard GamingWildcard Gaming9.0010lost-10-3152
20.01.25Zero Tenacity – xanblxanbl12.0010lost-10-3142
20.01.25Into The Breach – TT TeamTT Team12.0010lost-10-3132
20.01.25Nigma Galaxy – Winter BearWinter Bear12.0010lost-10-3122
20.01.25Team Tidebound – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers9.0010lost-10-3112
19.01.25Nigma Galaxy – Chimera EsportsNigma Galaxy14.0010lost-10-3102
19.01.25Night Pulse – Team SecretTeam Secret3.1010lost-10-3092
19.01.25Gaimin Gladiators – AVULUSGaimin Gladiators7.5010lost-10-3082
19.01.25Team Tidebound – Xtreme GamingTeam Tidebound12.0010lost-10-3072
19.01.25Passion UA – Team SecretPassion UA13.0010lost-10-3062
19.01.25Yakult Brothers – the goal of all life is deaththe goal of all life is death7.5010lost-10-3052
19.01.25Titan – Spiky GamingSpiky Gaming6.0010lost-10-3042
19.01.25Team Cyberding – Dead DenastyDead Denasty3.1010won+21-3032
19.01.25Heroic – M80M8010.0010lost-10-3053
18.01.25Tundra Esports – Team SecretTeam Secret2.5010lost-10-3043
18.01.25Natus Vincere Junior – OGOG11.0010lost-10-3033
18.01.25One Move – 9PandasOne Move6.6010lost-10-3023
18.01.25Talon Esports – Team KukuysTeam Kukuys7.5010lost-10-3013
18.01.25Xtreme Gaming – the goal of all life is deaththe goal of all life is death9.0010lost-10-3003
17.01.25Team Hryvnia – MOUZTeam Hryvnia12.0010lost-10-2993
17.01.25Team Spirit – One MoveOne Move12.0010lost-10-2983
17.01.25L1ga Team – 9PandasL1ga Team11.0010lost-10-2973
17.01.25Virtus.pro – L1ga TeamVirtus.pro11.0010lost-10-2963
17.01.25Team Kukuys – The MongolZTeam Kukuys2.3010won+13-2953
17.01.25BOOM Esports – Talon EsportsBOOM Esports13.0010lost-10-2966
17.01.259Pandas – Natus VincereNatus Vincere11.0010lost-10-2956
17.01.25Aurora Gaming – Team KukuysAurora Gaming12.0010lost-10-2946
17.01.25The MongolZ – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines4.2010lost-10-2936
17.01.25Execration – Team KukuysExecration10.0010lost-10-2926
16.01.25Team Spirit – 1w Team1w Team13.0010lost-10-2916
16.01.25Zero Tenacity – ASAKURAASAKURA2.8010won+18-2906
16.01.25Zero Tenacity – Winter BearWinter Bear6.6010lost-10-2924
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.