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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-4u
ROI
-0.1%
win rate
30%
bets
56
drawdown
63%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-571u
period 2profit withdrawn+876u
period 1top-up-310u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale5630%-4-0.1%63%Select
1% of bankroll5630%-183-33.7%18.3%Select
Flat (10 units)5630%-185-33.1%18.5%Select
2% of bankroll5630%-359-34.4%35.9%Select
5% of bankroll5630%-851-36.4%85.1%Select
10% of bankroll5630%-1530-39.3%153%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 56, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.43320lost-320996
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.11160lost-1601316
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1280lost-801476
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1440lost-401556
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1320lost-201596
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-101616
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2080won+961626
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0840lost-401530
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0320lost-201570
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2310lost-101590
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+111600
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+121589
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0340won+411577
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0620lost-201536
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0310lost-101556
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0720won+211566
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6810lost-101545
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7580won+1401555
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0540lost-401415
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1320lost-201455
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2310lost-101475
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0520won+211485
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4610lost-101463
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0110won+101473
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4340won+571463
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2120lost-201406
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5410lost-101426
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.47160won+2351436
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1080lost-801201
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.0140lost-401281
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.0620lost-201321
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-101341
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3510won+131351
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.0020won+201338
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3710lost-101318
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0680won+851328
21.09.26Solo Team – Daxak TeamSolo Team2.1140lost-401243
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2220lost-201283
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4110lost-101303
20.09.26Team Yandex – Team NemesisTeam Yandex2.17320won+3761313
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.21160lost-160937
19.09.26Team Synapse – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.1780lost-801097
19.09.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.1040lost-401177
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2520lost-201217
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0210lost-101237
13.09.26Dawn Bulls – Klim Sani4Dawn Bulls2.2940won+511247
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxTeam Lynx2.1220lost-201196
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0610lost-101216
06.09.26Level UP – 4ikibamboni4ikibamboni2.0310won+101226
06.09.26Klim Sani4 – Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+42.32640won+8451215
03.09.26Zero Tenacity – Klim Sani4Zero Tenacity2.09320lost-320370
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.02160lost-160690
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4780lost-80850
25.08.26Inner Circle – FTSFTS2.1040lost-40930
25.08.26FTS – PuckChampFTS2.0220lost-20970
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0210lost-10990
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.