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Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

profit
-3859u
ROI
-95.4%
win rate
1%
bets
442
drawdown
385.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-59u
period 24top-up-157u
period 23top-up-182u
period 22top-up-214u
period 21top-up-189u
period 20top-up-157u
period 19top-up-140u
period 18top-up-135u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
1% of bankroll4421%-3859-95.4%385.9%Select
Flat (10 units)4421%-4210-95.2%421%Select
2% of bankroll4421%-7094-95.5%709.4%Select
5% of bankroll4421%-13996-95.9%1399.6%Select
Quarter Kelly4401%-18300-96.6%1830%Select
10% of bankroll4421%-19865-96.6%1986.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 442, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-2859
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-2850
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0010lost-10-2840
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-2830
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-2820
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2010lost-10-2811
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.009lost-9-2801
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.009lost-9-2792
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.009lost-9-2783
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.009lost-9-2775
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.009lost-9-2766
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.009lost-9-2757
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.009lost-9-2748
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.009lost-9-2739
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.609lost-9-2730
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.609lost-9-2721
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.009lost-9-2711
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8010lost-10-2702
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0010lost-10-2692
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0010lost-10-2683
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-2673
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0010lost-10-2663
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0010lost-10-2653
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.808lost-8-2643
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.008lost-8-2635
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.008lost-8-2627
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamRecrent Team10.009lost-9-2618
24.06.26Dread Team – DangerLyoha TeamDangerLyoha Team3.209lost-9-2610
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterInterActive Philippines10.009lost-9-2601
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsCarstensz Esports13.009lost-9-2593
19.06.26summer bear – Power Rangerssummer bear13.009lost-9-2584
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsFlame Esports12.009lost-9-2575
16.06.26Flame Esports – Team Spirit AcademyFlame Esports4.209lost-9-2566
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.009lost-9-2557
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.009lost-9-2548
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity11.009lost-9-2539
06.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club3.109lost-9-2529
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-2520
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXExecration13.0010lost-10-2510
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXCarstensz Esports12.0010lost-10-2501
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersL1ga Team13.0010lost-10-2491
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereNatus Vincere13.0010lost-10-2481
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club6.6010lost-10-2471
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGOG15.008lost-8-2461
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubNS Club5.308lost-8-2453
27.05.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidLGD Gaming4.508lost-8-2445
27.05.26OG – Team YandexOG15.008lost-8-2437
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION15.008lost-8-2429
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.008lost-8-2421
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.008lost-8-2413
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamRecrent Team12.009lost-9-2404
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamMiposhka Team10.009lost-9-2396
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsTundra Esports11.009lost-9-2387
17.05.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion8.509lost-9-2378
16.05.26Tundra Esports – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.009lost-9-2370
15.05.26Virtus.pro – Team SpiritVirtus.pro15.009lost-9-2361
14.05.26Natus Vincere – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team10.009lost-9-2352
12.05.26Two Move – Power RangersTwo Move12.009lost-9-2343
11.05.26Team Lynx – Two MoveTeam Lynx12.009lost-9-2334
10.05.261w Team – PARIVISION1w Team15.009lost-9-2324
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.