Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-14042u
ROI
-92.3%
win rate
2%
bets
2315
drawdown
1404.2%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-395u
period 24top-up-368u
period 23top-up-511u
period 22top-up-718u
period 21top-up-611u
period 20top-up-586u
period 19top-up-600u
period 18top-up-702u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1000 | -100% | 100% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 481 | 2% | -4327 | -90.1% | 432.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2315 | 2% | -14042 | -92.3% | 1404.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2315 | 2% | -19880 | -92.4% | 1988% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2315 | 2% | -24175 | -92.7% | 2417.5% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 2303 | 2% | -24810 | -92.6% | 2481% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2315 | 2% | -24861 | -92.3% | 2486.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2315, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13042 |
| 20.08.26 | PARIVISION – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13035 |
| 16.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Yandex | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13029 |
| 15.08.26 | OG – GamerLegion | OG | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13023 |
| 15.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Xtreme Gaming | 11.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13017 |
| 15.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | Team Spirit | 14.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13010 |
| 15.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – Aurora Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 15.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -13004 |
| 15.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Liquid | 1w Team | 5.30 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12997 |
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12991 |
| 15.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12984 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12978 |
| 14.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Nigma Galaxy | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12971 |
| 14.08.26 | Team Yandex – Team Liquid | Team Yandex | 4.80 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12964 |
| 13.08.26 | OG – Nigma Galaxy | OG | 5.80 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12957 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12950 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12943 |
| 12.08.26 | Level UP – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 4.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12936 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12929 |
| 11.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Zero Tenacity | Yellow Submarine | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12922 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – MOUZ | MOUZ | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12914 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Natus Vincere | Rune Eaters | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12907 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters Arise – No Hoodwink | Rune Eaters Arise | 12.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12899 |
| 08.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – No Hoodwink | Ilbirs eSports | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12892 |
| 07.08.26 | Team Jenz – Nemiga Gaming | Team Jenz | 14.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12884 |
| 07.08.26 | Zero Tenacity – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12877 |
| 06.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Power Rangers | Ilbirs eSports | 6.60 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12869 |
| 05.08.26 | Team Liquid – 1w Team | 1w Team | 15.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12861 |
| 05.08.26 | PlayTime – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 15.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12853 |
| 05.08.26 | 1w Team – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12845 |
| 04.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Falcons | Team Liquid | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12837 |
| 04.08.26 | Yakult Brothers – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 12.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12829 |
| 04.08.26 | PlayTime – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 13.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12820 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 10.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -12812 |
| 03.08.26 | Vici Gaming – Yakult Brothers | Vici Gaming | 3.60 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12804 |
| 03.08.26 | OG – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12795 |
| 03.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Xtreme Gaming | 3.30 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12787 |
| 03.08.26 | LGD Gaming – 1w Team | LGD Gaming | 15.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12778 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | GLYPH | 14.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12769 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Liquid – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 5.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12760 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | OG | 13.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12751 |
| 02.08.26 | TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team | Stray Team | 13.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12742 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Falcons – 1w Team | 1w Team | 15.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12733 |
| 02.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Team Resilience | Yellow Submarine | 14.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12724 |
| 01.08.26 | Stray Team – TpaBoMaH Team | Stray Team | 13.00 | 9 | lost | -9 | -12715 |
| 01.08.26 | GLYPH – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 6.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12705 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | VooDooSh Team | 4.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12696 |
| 01.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12686 |
| 01.08.26 | Daxak Team – Team avice | Daxak Team | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12676 |
| 01.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12666 |
| 01.08.26 | Midas Club – Team Resilience | Midas Club | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -12657 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | BETBOOM Team | 11.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12647 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Yakult Brothers | 14.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | -12640 |
| 31.07.26 | Enjoy Boys – GLYPH | Enjoy Boys | 14.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12634 |
| 31.07.26 | L1ga Team – REKONIX | L1ga Team | 8.50 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12627 |
| 31.07.26 | LGD Gaming – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 7.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12621 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 11.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12614 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 3.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12607 |
| 30.07.26 | Team Falcons – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12601 |
| 30.07.26 | Stray Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 12.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12594 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 13.00 | 7 | lost | -7 | -12587 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.