Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-220u
ROI
-10.9%
win rate
29%
bets
28
drawdown
57.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 28 | 29% | -220 | -10.9% | 57.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 438 | 20% | -818 | -19% | 92.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 438 | 20% | -823 | -18.8% | 93.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 438 | 20% | -1630 | -19.2% | 171.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 438 | 20% | -4058 | -20.4% | 350.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 438 | 20% | -8057 | -23% | 520.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 28, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.02.25 | Team Falcons – Moodeng Warriors | Moodeng Warriors | 4.43 | 417 | lost | -417 | 780 |
| 17.02.25 | BOOM Esports – Team Spirit | BOOM Esports | 3.06 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1198 |
| 17.02.25 | Moodeng Warriors – BETBOOM TEAM | Moodeng Warriors | 3.78 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1518 |
| 11.02.25 | Natus Vincere Junior – One Move | One Move | 3.10 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1678 |
| 11.02.25 | Talon Esports – Execration | Execration | 3.10 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1758 |
| 08.02.25 | Tundra Esports – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 3.66 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1798 |
| 08.02.25 | L1ga Team – AVULUS | L1ga Team | 3.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1818 |
| 04.02.25 | Nigma Galaxy – PARIVISION | Nigma Galaxy | 3.37 | 20 | won | +47 | 1828 |
| 24.01.25 | BETBOOM TEAM – Wildcard Gaming | Wildcard Gaming | 3.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1780 |
| 24.01.25 | PARIVISION – Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 3.06 | 20 | won | +41 | 1790 |
| 20.01.25 | AVULUS – Night Pulse | Night Pulse | 3.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1749 |
| 18.01.25 | AVULUS – Night Pulse | Night Pulse | 3.47 | 320 | won | +790 | 1759 |
| 16.01.25 | Talon Esports – InterActive Philippines | InterActive Philippines | 3.30 | 160 | lost | -160 | 969 |
| 09.01.25 | Tundra Esports – Team Türkiye | Team Türkiye | 3.05 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1129 |
| 09.01.25 | Natus Vincere Junior – OG | OG | 3.27 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1209 |
| 11.12.24 | PARIVISION – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 3.05 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1249 |
| 10.12.24 | Team Secret – Natus Vincere Junior | Team Secret | 3.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1269 |
| 28.11.24 | Gaimin Gladiators – Team Falcons | Gaimin Gladiators | 3.46 | 40 | won | +98 | 1279 |
| 27.11.24 | OG – Team Falcons | OG | 4.31 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1181 |
| 26.11.24 | Heroic – Team Falcons | Heroic | 3.91 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1201 |
| 26.11.24 | Team Falcons – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 4.05 | 20 | won | +61 | 1211 |
| 15.11.24 | AVULUS – Palianytsia | Palianytsia | 3.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1150 |
| 05.11.24 | Team Falcons – BETBOOM TEAM | BETBOOM TEAM | 3.16 | 10 | won | +22 | 1160 |
| 01.11.24 | PARIVISION – Team Falcons | PARIVISION | 3.31 | 80 | won | +185 | 1139 |
| 30.10.24 | Tundra Esports – Palianytsia | Palianytsia | 3.11 | 40 | lost | -40 | 954 |
| 30.10.24 | Team Falcons – Azure Ray | Azure Ray | 3.85 | 20 | lost | -20 | 994 |
| 29.10.24 | Team Falcons – Talon Esports | Talon Esports | 3.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1014 |
| 11.10.24 | beastcoast – AVULUS | beastcoast | 3.40 | 10 | won | +24 | 1024 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.