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Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-3619u
ROI
-98.5%
win rate
0%
bets
399
drawdown
361.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-49u
period 24top-up-131u
period 23top-up-157u
period 22top-up-206u
period 21top-up-182u
period 20top-up-157u
period 19top-up-140u
period 18top-up-149u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
1% of bankroll3990%-3619-98.5%361.9%Select
Flat (10 units)3990%-3927-98.4%392.7%Select
2% of bankroll3990%-6687-98.5%668.7%Select
5% of bankroll3990%-13371-98.6%1337.1%Select
Quarter Kelly3980%-17861-98.6%1786.1%Select
10% of bankroll3990%-19299-98.9%1929.9%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 399, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-2619
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-2609
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0010lost-10-2600
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-2590
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-2580
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.009lost-9-2570
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.009lost-9-2561
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.009lost-9-2552
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.009lost-9-2543
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.009lost-9-2534
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.009lost-9-2525
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.009lost-9-2516
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.009lost-9-2507
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8010lost-10-2497
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0010lost-10-2488
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0010lost-10-2478
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-2468
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0010lost-10-2459
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0010lost-10-2449
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.809lost-9-2439
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.009lost-9-2430
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.009lost-9-2422
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamRecrent Team10.009lost-9-2413
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterInterActive Philippines10.009lost-9-2404
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsCarstensz Esports13.009lost-9-2395
19.06.26summer bear – Power Rangerssummer bear13.009lost-9-2386
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsFlame Esports12.009lost-9-2377
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.009lost-9-2368
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.009lost-9-2359
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity11.009lost-9-2350
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-2340
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXExecration13.0010lost-10-2331
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXCarstensz Esports12.0010lost-10-2321
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersL1ga Team13.0010lost-10-2311
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereNatus Vincere13.0010lost-10-2302
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club6.6010lost-10-2292
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGOG15.008lost-8-2282
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubNS Club5.308lost-8-2274
27.05.26OG – Team YandexOG15.008lost-8-2266
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION15.008lost-8-2257
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.008lost-8-2249
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.008lost-8-2241
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamRecrent Team12.009lost-9-2232
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamMiposhka Team10.009lost-9-2224
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsTundra Esports11.009lost-9-2215
17.05.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion8.509lost-9-2207
16.05.26Tundra Esports – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.009lost-9-2198
15.05.26Virtus.pro – Team SpiritVirtus.pro15.009lost-9-2189
14.05.26Natus Vincere – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team10.009lost-9-2180
12.05.26Two Move – Power RangersTwo Move12.009lost-9-2171
11.05.26Team Lynx – Two MoveTeam Lynx12.009lost-9-2162
10.05.261w Team – PARIVISION1w Team15.009lost-9-2153
09.05.261w Team – REKONIXREKONIX15.009lost-9-2143
08.05.26Nigma Galaxy – PlayTimeNigma Galaxy15.0010lost-10-2134
04.05.26Zero Tenacity – REKONIXREKONIX12.0010lost-10-2124
03.05.26MOUZ – Yellow SubmarineMOUZ14.0010lost-10-2115
02.05.26Vici Gaming – Roar GamingRoar Gaming12.0010lost-10-2105
01.05.26Vici Gaming – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning13.0010lost-10-2095
01.05.26Yakult Brothers – Mideng DreamerMideng Dreamer12.0010lost-10-2085
30.04.26Power Rangers – South America RejectsPower Rangers15.008lost-8-2075
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.