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Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-8070u
ROI
-96.7%
win rate
0%
bets
1021
drawdown
807%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-198u
period 24top-up-268u
period 23top-up-298u
period 22top-up-383u
period 21top-up-413u
period 20top-up-297u
period 19top-up-376u
period 18top-up-419u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll10210%-8070-96.7%807%Select
Flat (10 units)10210%-9857-96.5%985.7%Select
2% of bankroll10210%-13419-96.9%1341.9%Select
5% of bankroll10210%-20997-97.6%2099.7%Select
Quarter Kelly10200%-23594-98.3%2359.4%Select
10% of bankroll10210%-24038-98.7%2403.8%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1021, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.008lost-8-7070
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.008lost-8-7062
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.008lost-8-7054
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.008lost-8-7045
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.008lost-8-7037
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.309lost-9-7028
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.009lost-9-7020
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.009lost-9-7011
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.009lost-9-7003
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.009lost-9-6994
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.009lost-9-6985
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.009lost-9-6976
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.009lost-9-6967
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.009lost-9-6958
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.009lost-9-6949
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.009lost-9-6939
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-6930
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0010lost-10-6920
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-6911
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0010lost-10-6901
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0010lost-10-6891
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0010lost-10-6881
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.007lost-7-6871
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.007lost-7-6864
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.508lost-8-6857
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.008lost-8-6849
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.008lost-8-6841
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.008lost-8-6834
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.008lost-8-6826
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.008lost-8-6818
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.008lost-8-6810
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.008lost-8-6802
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.008lost-8-6794
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.008lost-8-6786
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.508lost-8-6778
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.008lost-8-6769
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.009lost-9-6761
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.009lost-9-6752
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.009lost-9-6744
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.009lost-9-6735
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.009lost-9-6726
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.009lost-9-6717
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.009lost-9-6708
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.809lost-9-6699
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.009lost-9-6690
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.009lost-9-6681
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.009lost-9-6672
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-6662
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0010lost-10-6653
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-6643
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0010lost-10-6633
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0010lost-10-6624
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamALOHADANCE Team10.0010lost-10-6614
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.807lost-7-6604
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.007lost-7-6597
26.06.26Enjoy Boys – L1ga TeamEnjoy Boys14.007lost-7-6589
25.06.26VooDooSh Team – Recrent TeamRecrent Team8.507lost-7-6582
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.007lost-7-6575
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamRecrent Team10.007lost-7-6568
23.06.26Team Spirit – Enjoy BoysEnjoy Boys14.008lost-8-6560
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.