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Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-13523u
ROI
-97%
win rate
0%
bets
2073
drawdown
1352.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-364u
period 24top-up-356u
period 23top-up-472u
period 22top-up-698u
period 21top-up-587u
period 20top-up-583u
period 19top-up-603u
period 18top-up-691u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
Flat (10 units)4280%-4200-98.1%420%Select
1% of bankroll20730%-13523-97%1352.3%Select
2% of bankroll20730%-19409-97%1940.9%Select
5% of bankroll20730%-24018-96.8%2401.8%Select
Quarter Kelly20710%-24765-95.7%2476.5%Select
10% of bankroll20730%-24823-95.9%2482.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2073, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.006lost-6-12523
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.006lost-6-12517
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.007lost-7-12510
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.007lost-7-12503
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.007lost-7-12497
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.007lost-7-12490
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.007lost-7-12483
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.307lost-7-12477
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.007lost-7-12470
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.007lost-7-12463
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.007lost-7-12456
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.007lost-7-12449
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.807lost-7-12441
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.007lost-7-12434
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.007lost-7-12427
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.007lost-7-12419
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.008lost-8-12412
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.008lost-8-12404
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.008lost-8-12397
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.008lost-8-12389
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.008lost-8-12381
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingTeam Jenz14.008lost-8-12373
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.008lost-8-12366
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersIlbirs eSports6.608lost-8-12358
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.008lost-8-12349
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers15.008lost-8-12341
05.08.261w Team – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team13.008lost-8-12333
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Liquid13.008lost-8-12325
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.009lost-9-12316
04.08.26PlayTime – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience13.009lost-9-12308
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.009lost-9-12299
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.009lost-9-12290
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w TeamLGD Gaming15.009lost-9-12282
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.009lost-9-12273
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.009lost-9-12264
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.009lost-9-12255
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.009lost-9-12246
02.08.26Team Falcons – 1w Team1w Team15.009lost-9-12236
02.08.26Yellow Submarine – Team ResilienceYellow Submarine14.009lost-9-12227
01.08.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamStray Team13.0010lost-10-12218
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity6.0010lost-10-12208
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-12199
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0010lost-10-12189
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingLGD Gaming14.0010lost-10-12179
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0010lost-10-12169
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.007lost-7-12159
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.007lost-7-12153
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHEnjoy Boys14.007lost-7-12146
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.507lost-7-12139
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.007lost-7-12133
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.007lost-7-12126
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.007lost-7-12119
30.07.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team12.007lost-7-12112
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.007lost-7-12105
30.07.26Level UP – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity12.007lost-7-12098
30.07.26Zero Tenacity – PuckChampPuckChamp9.007lost-7-12091
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.007lost-7-12084
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.007lost-7-12077
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.007lost-7-12069
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.007lost-7-12062
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.