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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-987u
ROI
-67.1%
win rate
30%
bets
23
drawdown
98.7%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+13u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll3642%-48-13.5%8.9%Select
Flat (10 units)3642%-49-13.6%9.1%Select
2% of bankroll3642%-95-13.4%17.4%Select
5% of bankroll3642%-224-13%40.6%Select
10% of bankroll3642%-410-12.4%72.2%Select
Martingale2330%-987-67.1%98.7%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 23, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.95411lost-41113
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.46320lost-320425
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.92160lost-160745
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2180lost-80905
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9640lost-40985
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9720lost-201025
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-101045
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3510won+131055
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9510won+101041
21.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9080won+721031
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2140lost-40959
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8920lost-20999
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8910lost-101019
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9580won+761029
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9040lost-40953
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9520lost-20993
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-101013
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9710won+101023
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8940won+361013
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0220lost-20978
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4710lost-10998
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8920won+181008
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0210lost-10990
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.