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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-4311u
ROI
-87.3%
win rate
5%
bets
494
drawdown
431.1%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-60u
period 24top-up-171u
period 23top-up-201u
period 22top-up-246u
period 21top-up-202u
period 20top-up-180u
period 19top-up-150u
period 18top-up-174u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
1% of bankroll4945%-3950-87.5%395%Select
Flat (10 units)4945%-4311-87.3%431.1%Select
2% of bankroll4945%-7256-87.6%725.6%Select
5% of bankroll4945%-14272-88.2%1427.2%Select
Quarter Kelly4773%-18475-94.4%1847.5%Select
10% of bankroll4945%-20133-89.1%2013.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 494, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-3311
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-3301
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0010lost-10-3291
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-3281
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-3271
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2010lost-10-3261
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0010lost-10-3251
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0010lost-10-3241
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0010lost-10-3231
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0010lost-10-3221
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0010lost-10-3211
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0010lost-10-3201
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0010lost-10-3191
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-3181
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6010lost-10-3171
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports1.9210won+9-3161
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6010lost-10-3170
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0010lost-10-3160
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.9010lost-10-3150
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8010lost-10-3140
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0010lost-10-3130
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0010lost-10-3120
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-3110
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0010lost-10-3100
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0010lost-10-3090
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.8010lost-10-3080
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.0010lost-10-3070
27.06.26Natus Vincere – L1ga TeamNatus Vincere2.2510lost-10-3060
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.0010lost-10-3050
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamRecrent Team10.0010lost-10-3040
24.06.26Dread Team – DangerLyoha TeamDangerLyoha Team3.2010lost-10-3030
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterInterActive Philippines10.0010lost-10-3020
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsCarstensz Esports13.0010lost-10-3010
19.06.26summer bear – Power Rangerssummer bear13.0010lost-10-3000
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsFlame Esports12.0010lost-10-2990
16.06.26Flame Esports – Team Spirit AcademyFlame Esports4.2010lost-10-2980
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0010lost-10-2970
11.06.26Phenomenon – NA Last HopePhenomenon2.9010won+19-2960
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0010lost-10-2979
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity11.0010lost-10-2969
07.06.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingBETBOOM Team2.2510lost-10-2959
06.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club3.1010lost-10-2949
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-2939
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXExecration13.0010lost-10-2929
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXCarstensz Esports12.0010lost-10-2919
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersL1ga Team13.0010lost-10-2909
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereNatus Vincere13.0010lost-10-2899
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club6.6010lost-10-2889
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGOG15.0010lost-10-2879
29.05.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingTeam Yandex2.7010lost-10-2869
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubNS Club5.3010lost-10-2859
27.05.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidLGD Gaming4.5010lost-10-2849
27.05.26OG – Team YandexOG15.0010lost-10-2839
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION15.0010lost-10-2829
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0010lost-10-2819
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-2809
26.05.26GLYPH – LGD GamingGLYPH2.3510lost-10-2799
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamRecrent Team12.0010lost-10-2789
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamMiposhka Team10.0010lost-10-2779
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsTundra Esports11.0010lost-10-2769
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.