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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match β€” the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1070u
ROI
-100%
win rate
0%
bets
7
drawdown
107%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

πŸ’°
Stake size

Martingale

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Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

πŸ“Š
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
1% of bankroll4945%-3950-87.5%395%Select
Flat (10 units)4945%-4311-87.3%431.1%Select
2% of bankroll4945%-7256-87.6%725.6%Select
5% of bankroll4945%-14272-88.2%1427.2%Select
Quarter Kelly4773%-18475-94.4%1847.5%Select
10% of bankroll4945%-20133-89.1%2013.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 7, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResultΒ±BankBank
07.09.24Team Falcons – beastcoastbeastcoast15.00440lost-440-70
06.09.24Cloud9 – 1w Team1w Team15.00320lost-320370
04.09.24BETBOOM Team – nounsnouns15.00160lost-160690
04.09.24Xtreme Gaming – HeroicHeroic6.3080lost-80850
29.08.24MOUZ – DMSDMS13.0040lost-40930
23.08.24AVULUS – Natus Vincere JuniorNatus Vincere Junior10.0020lost-20970
22.08.24Gaimin Gladiators – BETBOOM TeamGaimin Gladiators14.0010lost-10990
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.