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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-10760u
ROI
-85.5%
win rate
5%
bets
1259
drawdown
1076%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-248u
period 24top-up-327u
period 23top-up-451u
period 22top-up-534u
period 21top-up-552u
period 20top-up-400u
period 19top-up-454u
period 18top-up-578u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll12595%-8660-85.9%866%Select
Flat (10 units)12595%-10760-85.5%1076%Selected
2% of bankroll12595%-14195-86.3%1419.5%Select
5% of bankroll12595%-21575-87.7%2157.5%Select
Quarter Kelly12083%-23853-95.1%2385.3%Select
10% of bankroll12595%-24233-89.5%2423.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1259, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-9760
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0010lost-10-9750
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.0010lost-10-9740
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.0010lost-10-9730
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.0010lost-10-9720
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.3010lost-10-9710
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9700
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-9690
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-9680
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-9670
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.0010lost-10-9660
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0010lost-10-9650
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0010lost-10-9640
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0010lost-10-9630
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPLevel UP2.2510won+12-9620
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.0010lost-10-9633
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0010lost-10-9623
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0010lost-10-9613
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersVici Gaming3.6010lost-10-9603
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming3.3010lost-10-9593
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-9583
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0010lost-10-9573
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-9563
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0010lost-10-9553
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2010lost-10-9543
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0010lost-10-9533
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0010lost-10-9523
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0010lost-10-9513
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0010lost-10-9503
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.5010lost-10-9493
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.0010lost-10-9483
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0010lost-10-9473
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0010lost-10-9463
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9453
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0010lost-10-9443
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0010lost-10-9433
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0010lost-10-9423
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-9413
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.0010lost-10-9403
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-9393
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6010lost-10-9383
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.5010lost-10-9373
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports1.9210won+9-9363
21.07.26Team Lynx – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4010won+14-9372
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.0010lost-10-9386
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6010lost-10-9376
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.0010lost-10-9366
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9356
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.0010lost-10-9346
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9336
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0010lost-10-9326
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0010lost-10-9316
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.0010lost-10-9306
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.9010lost-10-9296
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8010lost-10-9286
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0010lost-10-9276
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.0010lost-10-9266
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0010lost-10-9256
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-9246
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0010lost-10-9236
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.