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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-967u
ROI
-75%
win rate
30%
bets
20
drawdown
96.8%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+33u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll6834%-190-29.9%22.5%Select
Flat (10 units)6834%-202-29.6%23.8%Select
2% of bankroll6834%-359-30.1%42.4%Select
5% of bankroll6834%-763-30.5%89.3%Select
Martingale2030%-967-75%96.8%Selected
10% of bankroll6834%-1220-30.7%139.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 20, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.90379lost-37933
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.02320lost-320412
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.95160lost-160732
10.09.26Recrent Team – Daxak TeamRecrent Team1.8980lost-80892
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0640lost-40972
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9620lost-201012
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-101032
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9720won+191042
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.9510lost-101023
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8920won+181033
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0210lost-101015
29.08.26MOUZ – Yellow SubmarineMOUZ1.8920won+181025
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4710lost-101008
29.08.26Ice Cream Men – Team KinetixIce Cream Men1.8980won+711018
28.08.26PuckChamp – Inner CirclePuckChamp1.8940lost-40947
27.08.26Nemiga Gaming – summer bearNemiga Gaming1.9520lost-20987
25.08.26PuckChamp – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.9510lost-101007
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8910won+91017
24.08.26Inner Circle – Nemiga GamingInner Circle1.8920won+181008
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0210lost-10990
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.