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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match β€” the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1000u
ROI
-100%
win rate
0%
bets
7
drawdown
100%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

πŸ’°
Stake size

Martingale

πŸ”
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

πŸ“Š
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll12595%-8660-85.9%866%Select
Flat (10 units)12595%-10760-85.5%1076%Select
2% of bankroll12595%-14195-86.3%1419.5%Select
5% of bankroll12595%-21575-87.7%2157.5%Select
Quarter Kelly12083%-23853-95.1%2385.3%Select
10% of bankroll12595%-24233-89.5%2423.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 7, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResultΒ±BankBank
27.08.241w Team – DMSDMS11.00370lost-3700
26.08.24Night Pulse – AVULUSNight Pulse12.00320lost-320370
25.08.24Team Spirit – Team FalconsTeam Spirit4.80160lost-160690
24.08.24AVULUS – Dragon EsportsDragon Esports10.0080lost-80850
23.08.24AVULUS – Natus Vincere JuniorNatus Vincere Junior10.0040lost-40930
22.08.24nouns – Tundra Esportsnouns11.0020lost-20970
22.08.24Gaimin Gladiators – BETBOOM TeamGaimin Gladiators14.0010lost-10990
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.