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Always the underdog

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-226u
ROI
-18.4%
win rate
41%
bets
128
drawdown
26.3%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-53u
period 2top-up-162u
period 1top-up-11u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll12841%-226-18.4%26.3%Select
Flat (10 units)12841%-236-18.4%27.3%Select
2% of bankroll12841%-433-18.3%48.8%Select
Martingale3847%-917-55.7%92.8%Select
5% of bankroll12841%-953-17.9%98.7%Select
10% of bankroll12841%-1559-17.3%143.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 128, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.899won+8774
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.949lost-9766
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.899won+8775
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.439lost-9767
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9510lost-10776
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9510lost-10786
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1110lost-10796
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10805
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9110won+9815
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1410lost-10806
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9816
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9110lost-10807
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10817
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8910lost-10827
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9210won+9837
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-10828
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2010won+12838
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10826
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0310lost-10837
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9847
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2310lost-10838
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11848
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12837
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9210lost-10825
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9010won+9836
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10827
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9816
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0610lost-10807
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0310lost-10817
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.078won+9827
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.688lost-8818
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.898won+7827
29.09.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.908lost-8819
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.758won+14828
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.058lost-8813
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.138lost-8822
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.238lost-8830
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.058won+9839
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.958lost-8830
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.469lost-9838
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.929lost-9847
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.019won+9855
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.438won+12847
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.969lost-9835
25.09.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.959lost-9843
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.219lost-9852
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.909lost-9861
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.969lost-9869
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.979lost-9878
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.999lost-9887
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.549lost-9896
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.479won+13905
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.109lost-9892
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.019lost-9901
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.069lost-9911
22.09.26LGD Gaming – Aurora GamingLGD Gaming1.909lost-9920
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-10929
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.359won+13939
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.009won+9926
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.379lost-9917
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.