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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-236u
ROI
-18.4%
win rate
41%
bets
128
drawdown
26.4%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-53u
period 2top-up-172u
period 1top-up-10u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll12841%-226-18.3%25.5%Select
Flat (10 units)12841%-236-18.4%26.4%Selected
2% of bankroll12841%-433-18.2%47.4%Select
Martingale3847%-917-55.7%92.8%Select
5% of bankroll12841%-953-17.9%96%Select
10% of bankroll12841%-1559-17.2%140.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 128, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8910lost-10764
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.9410lost-10774
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8910won+9784
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9010won+9776
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4310lost-10767
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9510lost-10777
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1110lost-10787
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10797
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9110won+9807
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1410lost-10797
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9807
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9110lost-10799
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10809
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8910lost-10819
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9210won+9829
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-10819
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2010won+12829
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10817
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0310lost-10827
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9837
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2310lost-10829
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11839
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12828
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9210lost-10816
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9010won+9826
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10817
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9807
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0610lost-10798
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0310lost-10808
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0710won+11818
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6810lost-10807
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8910won+9817
29.09.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9010lost-10808
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7510won+18818
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0510lost-10801
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1310lost-10811
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2310lost-10821
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0510won+11831
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9510lost-10820
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4610lost-10830
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9210lost-10840
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0110won+10850
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4310won+14840
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9610lost-10826
25.09.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.9510lost-10836
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2110lost-10846
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9010lost-10856
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9610lost-10866
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9710lost-10876
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9910lost-10886
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5410lost-10896
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4710won+15906
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1010lost-10891
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.0110lost-10901
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.0610lost-10911
22.09.26LGD Gaming – Aurora GamingLGD Gaming1.9010lost-10921
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-10931
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3510won+13941
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.0010won+10927
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3710lost-10917
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.