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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
+10u
ROI
+95.4%
win rate
100%
bets
1
drawdown
0%
payouts
1
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 1profit withdrawn+10u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll1100%+95+95.4%0%Select
5% of bankroll1100%+48+95.4%0%Select
2% of bankroll1100%+19+95.4%0%Select
Flat (10 units)1100%+10+95.4%0%Select
1% of bankroll1100%+10+95.4%0%Select
Martingale1100%+10+95.4%0%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
22.08.26PARIVISION Team YandexPARIVISION1.9510won+101010
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.