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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-917u
ROI
-55.7%
win rate
47%
bets
38
drawdown
92.8%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+83u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll12841%-226-18.3%25.5%Select
Flat (10 units)12841%-236-18.4%26.4%Select
2% of bankroll12841%-433-18.2%47.4%Select
Martingale3847%-917-55.7%92.8%Selected
5% of bankroll12841%-953-17.9%96%Select
10% of bankroll12841%-1559-17.2%140.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 38, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.95436lost-43683
10.09.26Cyber Nova – Dawn BullsCyber Nova1.89320lost-320519
10.09.26Recrent Team – Daxak TeamRecrent Team1.89160lost-160839
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxTeam Lynx2.1280lost-80999
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0640lost-401079
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9620lost-201119
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-101139
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9710won+101149
06.09.26Level UP – 4ikibamboni4ikibamboni2.0310won+101139
06.09.26Klim Sani4 – Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+42.3210won+131129
05.09.26Team Lynx – Power RangersTeam Lynx1.9010won+91116
04.09.26Inner Circle – Level UPLevel UP1.9310won+91107
03.09.26PuckChamp – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.8940won+361098
03.09.26Zero Tenacity – Klim Sani4Zero Tenacity2.0920lost-201062
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.9510lost-101082
01.09.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle1.8910won+91092
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8920won+181083
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0210lost-101065
29.08.26MOUZ – Yellow SubmarineMOUZ1.8920won+181075
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4710lost-101057
29.08.26Ice Cream Men – Team KinetixIce Cream Men1.8920won+181067
28.08.26FTS – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.8910lost-101050
28.08.26Klim Sani4 – Rune Eaters AriseKlim Sani41.8980won+711060
28.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – summer bearsummer bear1.8940lost-40988
28.08.26PuckChamp – Inner CirclePuckChamp1.8920lost-201028
27.08.26Nemiga Gaming – summer bearNemiga Gaming1.9510lost-101048
25.08.26summer bear – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.9610won+101058
25.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Team Spirit AcademyRune Eaters Arise1.9640won+381049
25.08.26Inner Circle – FTSFTS2.1020lost-201010
25.08.26FTS – PuckChampFTS2.0210lost-101030
25.08.26Klim Sani4 – summer bearKlim Sani41.8920won+181040
25.08.26PuckChamp – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.9510lost-101023
24.08.26summer bear – Ducksquadsummer bear1.8910won+91033
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8910won+91024
24.08.26Inner Circle – Nemiga GamingInner Circle1.8940won+351015
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0220lost-20980
22.08.26BETBOOM TEAM – Team SpiritBETBOOM TEAM1.8910lost-101000
22.08.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION1.9510won+101010
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.