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Always the underdog

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-238u
ROI
-19.1%
win rate
40%
bets
129
drawdown
25.4%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-63u
period 2top-up-146u
period 1top-up-30u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll12940%-238-19.1%25.4%Selected
Flat (10 units)12940%-246-19.1%26.1%Select
2% of bankroll12940%-461-19%48.2%Select
Martingale3845%-932-53.7%94%Select
5% of bankroll12940%-1037-18.8%103.3%Select
10% of bankroll12940%-1727-18.2%158.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.289lost-9762
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.899won+8771
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.459lost-9763
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.899won+8772
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.959lost-9764
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4310lost-10773
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9510lost-10783
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1110lost-10793
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10802
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9110won+9812
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1410lost-10803
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9813
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9110lost-10805
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10814
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8910lost-10824
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9210won+9835
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-10825
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2010won+12835
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10824
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0310lost-10834
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9844
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2310lost-10835
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11845
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12834
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9210lost-10823
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9010won+9833
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10824
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9813
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0610lost-10804
01.10.26Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAMBETBOOM TEAM2.3910lost-10814
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.078won+9824
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.689lost-9815
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.898won+8824
29.09.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.909lost-9816
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.758won+15825
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.058lost-8810
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.139lost-9819
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.239lost-9827
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.059won+9836
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.959lost-9827
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.469lost-9835
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.929lost-9844
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.019won+9853
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.439won+12844
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.969lost-9832
25.09.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.959lost-9841
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.219lost-9849
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.909lost-9858
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.969lost-9867
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.979lost-9876
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.999lost-9885
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.549lost-9895
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.479won+13904
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.109lost-9891
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.019lost-9900
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.069lost-9909
22.09.26LGD Gaming – Aurora GamingLGD Gaming1.9010lost-10919
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.359won+13928
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-10916
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.009won+9925
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.