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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-232u
ROI
-18.3%
win rate
40%
bets
127
drawdown
27.2%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-50u
period 2top-up-172u
period 1top-up-10u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll12740%-223-18.2%26.2%Select
Flat (10 units)12740%-232-18.3%27.2%Select
2% of bankroll12740%-427-18.2%48.6%Select
Martingale3847%-918-55.1%92.9%Select
5% of bankroll12740%-943-17.9%98.2%Select
10% of bankroll12740%-1548-17.3%142.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 127, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4510lost-10768
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1310won+21778
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4310lost-10757
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9510lost-10767
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9510lost-10777
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1110lost-10787
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10797
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9110won+9807
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1410lost-10797
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9807
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9110lost-10799
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10809
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8910lost-10819
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9210won+9829
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-10819
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2010won+12829
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10817
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0310lost-10827
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9837
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2310lost-10829
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11839
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12828
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9210lost-10816
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9010won+9826
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10817
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9807
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0610lost-10798
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0310lost-10808
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0710won+11818
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6810lost-10807
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8910won+9817
29.09.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9010lost-10808
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7510won+18818
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0510lost-10801
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1310lost-10811
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2310lost-10821
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0510won+11831
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9510lost-10820
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4610lost-10830
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9210lost-10840
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0110won+10850
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4310won+14840
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9610lost-10826
25.09.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.9510lost-10836
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2110lost-10846
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9010lost-10856
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9610lost-10866
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9710lost-10876
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5410lost-10886
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9910lost-10896
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4710won+15906
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1010lost-10891
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.0110lost-10901
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.0610lost-10911
22.09.26LGD Gaming – Aurora GamingLGD Gaming1.9010lost-10921
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3510won+13931
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-10917
22.09.26MOUZ – HokoriMOUZ2.0010won+10927
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3710lost-10917
22.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team LynxZero Tenacity1.9910lost-10927
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.