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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-917u
ROI
-55.7%
win rate
47%
bets
38
drawdown
92.8%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+83u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll12841%-226-18.4%26.3%Select
Flat (10 units)12841%-236-18.4%27.3%Select
2% of bankroll12841%-433-18.3%48.8%Select
Martingale3847%-917-55.7%92.8%Select
5% of bankroll12841%-953-17.9%98.7%Select
10% of bankroll12841%-1559-17.3%143.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 38, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.95436lost-43683
10.09.26Cyber Nova – Dawn BullsCyber Nova1.89320lost-320519
10.09.26Recrent Team – Daxak TeamRecrent Team1.89160lost-160839
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxTeam Lynx2.1280lost-80999
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0640lost-401079
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9620lost-201119
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-101139
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9710won+101149
06.09.26Level UP – 4ikibamboni4ikibamboni2.0310won+101139
06.09.26Klim Sani4 – Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+42.3210won+131129
05.09.26Team Lynx – Power RangersTeam Lynx1.9010won+91116
04.09.26Inner Circle – Level UPLevel UP1.9310won+91107
03.09.26PuckChamp – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.8940won+361098
03.09.26Zero Tenacity – Klim Sani4Zero Tenacity2.0920lost-201062
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.9510lost-101082
01.09.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle1.8910won+91092
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8920won+181083
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0210lost-101065
29.08.26MOUZ – Yellow SubmarineMOUZ1.8920won+181075
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4710lost-101057
29.08.26Ice Cream Men – Team KinetixIce Cream Men1.8920won+181067
28.08.26FTS – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.8910lost-101050
28.08.26Klim Sani4 – Rune Eaters AriseKlim Sani41.8980won+711060
28.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – summer bearsummer bear1.8940lost-40988
28.08.26PuckChamp – Inner CirclePuckChamp1.8920lost-201028
27.08.26Nemiga Gaming – summer bearNemiga Gaming1.9510lost-101048
25.08.26summer bear – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.9610won+101058
25.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Team Spirit AcademyRune Eaters Arise1.9640won+381049
25.08.26Inner Circle – FTSFTS2.1020lost-201010
25.08.26FTS – PuckChampFTS2.0210lost-101030
25.08.26Klim Sani4 – summer bearKlim Sani41.8920won+181040
25.08.26PuckChamp – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.9510lost-101023
24.08.26summer bear – Ducksquadsummer bear1.8910won+91033
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8910won+91024
24.08.26Inner Circle – Nemiga GamingInner Circle1.8940won+351015
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0220lost-20980
22.08.26BETBOOM TEAM – Team SpiritBETBOOM TEAM1.8910lost-101000
22.08.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION1.9510won+101010
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.