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Always the favorite

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+227u
ROI
+4.6%
win rate
96%
bets
494
drawdown
2.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+15u
period 24profit withdrawn+7u
period 23profit withdrawn+16u
period 22profit withdrawn+9u
period 21profit withdrawn+13u
period 20profit withdrawn+13u
period 19profit withdrawn+9u
period 18profit withdrawn+14u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll49496%+2291+4.5%15.9%Select
5% of bankroll49496%+1140+4.5%9.2%Select
2% of bankroll49496%+454+4.6%4.2%Select
Martingale49496%+250+4.8%3%Select
1% of bankroll49496%+227+4.6%2.4%Select
Flat (10 units)49496%+227+4.6%2.4%Select
Quarter Kelly786%+127+43.3%2.9%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 494, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0110won+01227
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0610won+11227
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0310won+01226
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0110won+01226
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGVici Gaming2.1510won+121226
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2010won+21214
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+21212
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+01210
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01210
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3510won+41210
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01207
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1210won+11207
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0210won+01205
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0110won+01205
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2510won+21205
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSportsNemiga Gaming1.8010lost-101203
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.2510won+21213
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0410won+01210
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.0110won+01210
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0210won+01210
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0110won+01209
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.0110won+01209
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.2010won+21209
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0110won+01207
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w Team1w Team1.2010won+21207
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineNigma Galaxy1.1210won+11205
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamBy_Owl Team1.0410won+01204
27.06.26Natus Vincere – L1ga TeamL1ga Team1.6010won+61203
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit1.0110won+01197
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0210won+01197
24.06.26Dread Team – DangerLyoha TeamDread Team1.3010won+31197
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterMentality Monster1.0210won+01194
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsGrind Back1.0110won+01194
19.06.26summer bear – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0110won+01194
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsPower Rangers1.0110won+01194
16.06.26Flame Esports – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.2010won+21194
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamEstar Backs1.0310won+01192
11.06.26Phenomenon – NA Last HopeNA Last Hope1.3510lost-101191
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamTeam Nemesis1.0110won+01201
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityL1ga Team1.0110won+01201
07.06.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.6510won+61201
06.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.3210won+31195
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidLGD Gaming1.0310won+01191
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXREKONIX1.0810won+11191
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXREKONIX1.0210won+01190
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersPoor Rangers1.0210won+01190
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming1.0110won+01190
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.0810won+11190
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGTeam Spirit1.0110won+01189
29.05.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.4510won+41189
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubRamzes Club1.1210won+11184
27.05.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.2010won+21183
27.05.26OG – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01181
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01181
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.1710won+21181
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01179
26.05.26GLYPH – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.6010won+61179
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamSolo Team1.0110won+01173
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0310won+01173
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsAurora Gaming1.0310won+01173
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.