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Always the favorite

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+466u
ROI
+3.7%
win rate
95%
bets
1259
drawdown
3.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+36u
period 24profit withdrawn+12u
period 23profit withdrawn+45u
period 22profit withdrawn+17u
period 21profit withdrawn+14u
period 20profit withdrawn+47u
period 19profit withdrawn+15u
period 18profit withdrawn+30u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll125995%+4888+3.6%22.5%Select
5% of bankroll125995%+2390+3.6%14%Select
2% of bankroll125995%+942+3.7%6.7%Select
1% of bankroll125995%+468+3.7%3.9%Select
Flat (10 units)125995%+466+3.7%3.9%Select
Martingale125995%+453+3.4%5.3%Select
Quarter Kelly3168%+131+9.4%17.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1259, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0210won+01466
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0110won+01466
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01465
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01465
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0110won+01465
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1510won+11465
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0110won+01463
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0110won+01463
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0210won+01463
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0610won+11463
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2210won+21462
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2510won+21460
08.08.26Power Rangers – Team SyntaxPower Rangers1.0110won+01458
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.0210won+01458
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPNo Hoodwink1.6010lost-101457
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.2210won+21467
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.0310won+01465
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0310won+01465
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.2610won+31465
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.3010won+31462
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0110won+01459
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingTeam Liquid2.5010won+151459
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGVici Gaming2.1510won+121444
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0610won+11432
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2010won+21432
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0110won+01430
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01430
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+21429
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+01428
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0510won+11428
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionLGD Gaming2.0010won+101427
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01417
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3510won+41417
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0110won+01414
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01413
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1210won+11413
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0210won+01412
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0210won+01412
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0110won+01412
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0110won+01412
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2510won+21412
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPLevel UP1.0610won+11409
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSportsNemiga Gaming1.8010lost-101408
21.07.26Team Lynx – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Lynx1.5210lost-101418
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsLevel UP1.0210won+01428
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.2510won+21428
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp1.0210won+01426
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01426
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.1210won+11425
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingBETBOOM Team1.0310won+01424
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0410won+01424
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingTeam Liquid1.0110won+01424
12.07.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0810won+11423
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.0110won+01423
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0210won+01423
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0110won+01422
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0210won+01422
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.0110won+01422
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0110won+01422
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Spirit1.0110won+01422
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.