Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
+2599u
ROI
+3.9%
win rate
95%
bets
1259
drawdown
12.8%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+192u
period 24profit withdrawn+58u
period 23profit withdrawn+244u
period 22profit withdrawn+82u
period 21profit withdrawn+64u
period 20profit withdrawn+261u
period 19profit withdrawn+70u
period 18profit withdrawn+156u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 1259 | 95% | +5393 | +3.9% | 20.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1259 | 95% | +2599 | +3.9% | 12.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1259 | 95% | +1016 | +4% | 6.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1259 | 95% | +504 | +4% | 3.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1259 | 95% | +500 | +4% | 3.8% | Select |
| Martingale | 1259 | 95% | +487 | +3.7% | 5.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 32 | 69% | +311 | +21.1% | 14.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1259, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.02 | 60 | won | +1 | 3599 |
| 20.08.26 | PARIVISION – BETBOOM Team | PARIVISION | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 3598 |
| 16.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 3597 |
| 15.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.03 | 59 | won | +2 | 3597 |
| 15.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | PARIVISION | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 3595 |
| 15.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 1.15 | 59 | won | +9 | 3594 |
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 3586 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | Team Falcons | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 3585 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | Aurora Gaming | 1.02 | 59 | won | +1 | 3584 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | PARIVISION | 1.06 | 59 | won | +4 | 3583 |
| 12.08.26 | Level UP – Rune Eaters | Level UP | 1.22 | 58 | won | +13 | 3580 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters Arise – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 1.25 | 57 | won | +14 | 3567 |
| 08.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 1.01 | 57 | won | +1 | 3553 |
| 07.08.26 | Zero Tenacity – No Hoodwink | Zero Tenacity | 1.02 | 57 | won | +1 | 3552 |
| 06.08.26 | No Hoodwink – Level UP | No Hoodwink | 1.60 | 60 | lost | -60 | 3551 |
| 05.08.26 | Team Liquid – 1w Team | Team Liquid | 1.22 | 60 | won | +13 | 3611 |
| 04.08.26 | Yakult Brothers – Rune Eaters | Yakult Brothers | 1.03 | 59 | won | +2 | 3598 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Team Liquid | 1.03 | 59 | won | +2 | 3596 |
| 03.08.26 | Vici Gaming – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 1.26 | 59 | won | +15 | 3595 |
| 03.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.30 | 58 | won | +17 | 3579 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | PlayTime | 1.01 | 58 | won | +1 | 3562 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Liquid – LGD Gaming | Team Liquid | 2.50 | 54 | won | +81 | 3561 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | Vici Gaming | 2.15 | 51 | won | +58 | 3481 |
| 02.08.26 | TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.06 | 51 | won | +3 | 3423 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | NS Team | 1.20 | 50 | won | +10 | 3419 |
| 01.08.26 | Daxak Team – Team avice | Team avice | 1.01 | 50 | won | +1 | 3409 |
| 01.08.26 | Midas Club – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.03 | 50 | won | +2 | 3409 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 1.17 | 52 | won | +9 | 3407 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 1.01 | 52 | won | +1 | 3399 |
| 31.07.26 | L1ga Team – REKONIX | REKONIX | 1.05 | 52 | won | +3 | 3398 |
| 31.07.26 | LGD Gaming – GamerLegion | LGD Gaming | 2.00 | 50 | won | +50 | 3395 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 1.01 | 50 | won | +0 | 3346 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Ilbirs eSports | 1.35 | 49 | won | +17 | 3345 |
| 30.07.26 | Team Falcons – Vici Gaming | Team Falcons | 1.01 | 49 | won | +0 | 3328 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 1.01 | 49 | won | +0 | 3328 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team | 1w Team | 1.12 | 49 | won | +6 | 3327 |
| 29.07.26 | Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.02 | 49 | won | +1 | 3321 |
| 29.07.26 | NS Team – Stray Team | Stray Team | 1.02 | 48 | won | +1 | 3320 |
| 28.07.26 | YBN Team – Team avice | Team avice | 1.01 | 48 | won | +0 | 3319 |
| 28.07.26 | NS Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.01 | 48 | won | +0 | 3319 |
| 27.07.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | NS Team | 1.25 | 48 | won | +12 | 3318 |
| 24.07.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Level UP | Level UP | 1.06 | 48 | won | +3 | 3306 |
| 24.07.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSports | Nemiga Gaming | 1.80 | 50 | lost | -50 | 3303 |
| 21.07.26 | Team Lynx – Team Spirit Academy | Team Lynx | 1.52 | 53 | lost | -53 | 3354 |
| 20.07.26 | Level UP – Ilbirs eSports | Level UP | 1.02 | 53 | won | +1 | 3407 |
| 20.07.26 | Zero Tenacity – Nemiga Gaming | Zero Tenacity | 1.25 | 52 | won | +13 | 3405 |
| 20.07.26 | Team Lynx – PuckChamp | PuckChamp | 1.02 | 52 | won | +1 | 3392 |
| 19.07.26 | Vici Gaming – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 52 | won | +1 | 3391 |
| 18.07.26 | Team Yandex – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 1.12 | 52 | won | +6 | 3391 |
| 18.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Vici Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 1.03 | 52 | won | +2 | 3385 |
| 17.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 1.04 | 52 | won | +2 | 3383 |
| 14.07.26 | Team Liquid – Xtreme Gaming | Team Liquid | 1.01 | 52 | won | +1 | 3381 |
| 12.07.26 | 1w Team – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.08 | 51 | won | +4 | 3381 |
| 12.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Nemesis | REKONIX | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 3376 |
| 11.07.26 | PlayTime – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 1.02 | 51 | won | +1 | 3376 |
| 10.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Spirit | Team Spirit | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 3375 |
| 10.07.26 | Team Nemesis – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 1.02 | 51 | won | +1 | 3374 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Yandex – Inner Circle | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 3373 |
| 08.07.26 | Vici Gaming – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 3373 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Spirit – Team Nemesis | Team Spirit | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 3372 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.