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Always the favorite

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+978u
ROI
+3.8%
win rate
95%
bets
2542
drawdown
3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+35u
period 24profit withdrawn+12u
period 23profit withdrawn+45u
period 22profit withdrawn+42u
period 21top-up-0u
period 20profit withdrawn+65u
period 19profit withdrawn+64u
period 18profit withdrawn+43u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll254295%+11373+3.6%25.4%Select
5% of bankroll254295%+5281+3.8%13.6%Select
2% of bankroll254295%+2018+3.8%5.7%Select
Quarter Kelly5973%+1301+44.6%10.4%Select
1% of bankroll254295%+994+3.8%3.1%Select
Flat (10 units)254295%+978+3.8%3%Selected
Martingale254295%+955+3.6%6.6%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2542, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0210won+01978
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0110won+01978
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01978
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0110won+01978
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01978
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0110won+01978
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0110won+01978
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1510won+11977
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0110won+01976
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0210won+01976
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0110won+01976
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0110won+01976
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+21975
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONTeam Falcons1.8010lost-101974
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1210won+11984
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0210won+01983
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0610won+11982
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2210won+21982
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0110won+01980
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+01979
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0110won+01979
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0110won+01979
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2510won+21979
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.0110won+01977
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.0210won+01977
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.0210won+01976
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0810won+11976
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPNo Hoodwink1.6010lost-101975
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.2210won+21985
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersPlayTime1.0110won+01983
05.08.261w Team – BETBOOM Team1w Team1.0110won+01983
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.0110won+01983
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.0310won+01983
04.08.26PlayTime – Team ResiliencePlayTime1.0610won+11983
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0310won+01982
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.2610won+31982
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG1.0110won+01979
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.3010won+31979
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.0110won+01976
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0110won+01976
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingTeam Liquid2.5010won+151976
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGVici Gaming2.1510won+121961
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0610won+11949
02.08.26Team Falcons – 1w TeamTeam Falcons1.0810won+11949
02.08.26Yellow Submarine – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0610won+11948
01.08.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0410won+01947
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityGLYPH1.1010won+11947
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2010won+21946
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – GamerLegionBETBOOM Team1.0110won+01944
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0110won+01944
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingBETBOOM Team1.0110won+01944
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01944
31.07.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingXtreme Gaming1.8510won+81943
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+21935
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+01933
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHGLYPH1.0110won+01933
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0510won+11933
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionLGD Gaming2.0010won+101932
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01922
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3510won+41922
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.