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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+1749u
ROI
+3.7%
win rate
98%
bets
461
drawdown
10%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+31u
period 24profit withdrawn+183u
period 23profit withdrawn+29u
period 22profit withdrawn+141u
period 21top-up-19u
period 20profit withdrawn+139u
period 19profit withdrawn+33u
period 18profit withdrawn+53u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll46198%+1749+3.7%10%Selected
5% of bankroll46198%+871+3.7%6.1%Select
2% of bankroll46198%+347+3.7%3.1%Select
Martingale46198%+178+3.8%1.6%Select
1% of bankroll46198%+173+3.8%1.7%Select
Flat (10 units)46198%+173+3.8%1.7%Select
Quarter Kelly3100%+68+42.9%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 461, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.01103won+12749
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.06102won+62748
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.03102won+32741
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.01102won+12738
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.20100won+202737
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.17116won+202717
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01116won+12698
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.01116won+12696
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.35112won+392695
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.01112won+12656
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.12111won+132655
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.02111won+22642
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.01110won+12639
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.25108won+272638
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.25105won+262611
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.04105won+42585
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.01105won+12581
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.02104won+22580
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.01104won+12578
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.01104won+12577
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.20102won+202576
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.01102won+12555
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w Team1w Team1.20100won+202554
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineNigma Galaxy1.12102won+122534
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamBy_Owl Team1.04101won+42522
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit1.01101won+12518
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.02101won+22517
24.06.26Dread Team – DangerLyoha TeamDread Team1.3098won+292515
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterMentality Monster1.0298won+22486
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsGrind Back1.0198won+12484
19.06.26summer bear – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0198won+12483
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsPower Rangers1.0198won+12482
16.06.26Flame Esports – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.2096won+192481
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamEstar Backs1.0395won+32462
11.06.26Phenomenon – NA Last HopeNA Last Hope1.35106lost-1062459
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamTeam Nemesis1.01106won+12565
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityL1ga Team1.01106won+12564
06.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.32102won+332563
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidLGD Gaming1.03102won+32530
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXREKONIX1.08101won+82527
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXREKONIX1.02101won+22519
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersPoor Rangers1.02101won+22517
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming1.01101won+12515
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.08100won+82514
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGTeam Spirit1.01114won+12506
29.05.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.45109won+492504
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubRamzes Club1.12108won+132455
27.05.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.20106won+212442
27.05.26OG – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01106won+12421
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01105won+12420
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.17104won+182419
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01104won+12402
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamSolo Team1.01103won+12400
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.03103won+32399
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsAurora Gaming1.03103won+32396
17.05.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.06102won+62393
16.05.26Tundra Esports – BETBOOM TeamTundra Esports1.01102won+12387
15.05.26Virtus.pro – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.01102won+12386
14.05.26Natus Vincere – BETBOOM TeamNatus Vincere1.04102won+42385
12.05.26Two Move – Power RangersPower Rangers1.01102won+12381
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.