Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+128u
ROI
+42.2%
win rate
100%
bets
9
drawdown
0%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Quarter Kelly
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+39u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+1u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+15u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 1170 | 97% | +3750 | +3% | 22.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1170 | 97% | +1829 | +3% | 12.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1170 | 97% | +721 | +3% | 5.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 1170 | 97% | +367 | +3.1% | 2.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1170 | 97% | +359 | +3% | 2.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1170 | 97% | +357 | +3% | 2.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 9 | 100% | +128 | +42.2% | 0% | Selected |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 9, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.05.26 | Tundra Esports – GLYPH | Tundra Esports | 1.45 | 75 | won | +34 | 1128 |
| 26.05.26 | PARIVISION – OG | PARIVISION | 1.22 | 24 | won | +5 | 1094 |
| 08.03.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Nemesis | Xtreme Gaming | 1.32 | 3 | won | +1 | 1089 |
| 30.01.26 | Power Rangers – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 1.42 | 36 | won | +15 | 1088 |
| 07.11.25 | Most Wanted – Team Tidebound | Team Tidebound | 1.45 | 14 | won | +6 | 1073 |
| 21.05.25 | PARIVISION – AVULUS | PARIVISION | 1.32 | 46 | won | +15 | 1067 |
| 06.05.25 | PARIVISION – Aurora Gaming | PARIVISION | 1.50 | 76 | won | +38 | 1052 |
| 18.01.25 | Tundra Esports – Team Secret | Tundra Esports | 1.48 | 23 | won | +11 | 1014 |
| 12.12.24 | Natus Vincere Junior – AnimeVesta | Natus Vincere Junior | 1.48 | 5 | won | +3 | 1003 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.